What the Fed said on November 8

Keeping the base interest rate in the target range of 2.00% -2.25%, the Federal Committee for the Open Market of the US Federal Reserve gave a comment on the state of the economy and monetary policy. The Fed notes a vigorous growth in economic activity and a further improvement in the labor market situation due […]

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Forecast for GBP / USD pair on November 9, 2018

GBP / USD pair Against the background of yesterday’s strengthening of the dollar, with USD index showing 0.47%, investors did not expect with hopes for good news on Brexit but bought a few dollars along with the market. The pound lost 64 points. Today, the UK expects optimistic GDP data for the 3rd quarter, and […]

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Analysis of EUR./USD for November 09, 2018

Recently, the EUR/USD has been trading downwards. As I expected, the price tested the level of 1.1329 and its going forward my yesterday’s target at 1.1303. According to the H4 time – frame I have found the successful breakout of the bearish flat and the support at the price of 1.1352, which is a sign […]

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Indicator analysis. Daily review for November 9, 2018 for the EUR / USD pair

Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the downward trend is expected with the first goal – the support line 1.1300 (blue thin line). Fig. 1 (daily schedule). Comprehensive analysis: – indicator analysis – down; – Fibonacci levels – neutral; – volumes – down; – candlestick analysis – down; – trend analysis – down; – Bollinger […]

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Fed Optimism “cooled” markets

Anxiety, yet again, has returned to world markets, which, on one hand, is due to the investors’ awareness on the American parliament’s midterm elections that may take effect on the restoration of the status quo regarding the political struggle between D. Trump and his opponents in the States. If carried out his campaign promises a […]

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Technical analysis of gold for November 9, 2018

The strong Dollar is not good for gold as prices have broken below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Price is forming a bullish wedge and bulls continue to hope for a sharp reversal upwards as long as price is above the $1,212 lows. Magenta rectangle – support Green lines – bullish wedge pattern Red rectangle – […]

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Trading plan for 09/11/2018

On Friday, the 9th of November, the event calendar is busy with important data releases. The event of the day is the UK GDP and Industrial Production data release. Moreover, there are other data to keep the eye on, like Industrial Production data from France and Germany, PPI and Core PPI data from the US […]

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Trading Plan 11/09/2018

The general picture: the Fed may continue to raise rates. On Thursday, the main event of the week for the market took place – the Fed’s decision. The Fed left the rate unchanged, but the comment was pretty tough.Employment is rising, wages are rising, and probably inflation will follow. And in this case, the Fed […]

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Forecast for EUR / USD for November 9, 2018

EUR / USD In the first half of yesterday, the euro fell by 30 points under pressure from retail sales data. There is also another 30 points lost on Wednesday (0.0% in September) and a weak trade balance of Germany and France on Thursday (17.6 billion from Germany against the forecast of 18 2 billion […]

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Simplified Wave Analysis. EUR / CHF review for the week of November 8

Wave pattern graphics H 4: The last wave of this scale was the final part (C) in a downward zigzag of the daily TF. The oncoming wave of the beginning of September will at least be its correction. Wave pattern graphics H1: In the ascending wave from the middle of last month, the middle part […]

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The Fed’s November meeting: waiting for hints about the December hike

After the announcement of the first results of the elections to the US Congress, the dollar was under considerable pressure, as the lower and upper houses of the legislature were divided between Democrats and Republicans. The dollar index slipped to 95.55 points, reflecting the weakening of the currency in all dollar pairs. The possible imbalance […]

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All attention to the Fed at 18.00 London time today

All attention to the Federal Reserve at 18.00 London time today. Today, on Thursday, at 18.00 London time, the Fed will publish a decision on rates and a statement on the US economy. What to look at? First – will the rate increase? Most experts believe – it will not increase, they will leave it […]

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Will the Fed succeed in stirring up the gold?

Another round of tightening the Fed policy traders are waiting in December. The increase in rates at the end of the September meeting was predictable, the market reaction did not come as a surprise, except for gold. The stock market declined last month, while yields on Treasury bonds and the dollar rose. The yellow metal, […]

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The fall of the euro will continue, and the dollar will grow, and this is why

The euro is likely to continue falling. There is no good news for the single currency, and the EC has also reduced growth forecasts in Italy, reinforcing investors’ concerns about the debt of the third largest economy in the eurozone. The Italian economy is expected to slow down growth over the next two years, which […]

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Tesla has appointed a new chairman of the board of directors, the company’s shares are growing

The newly appointed chairman of the board of directors of the manufacturer of electric vehicles Tesla was Robin Denholm, who previously headed the finances of Telstra Corp. Ltd, Australia’s largest telecommunications operator. The founder and CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk, resigned as part of an agreement with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). […]

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US government bond yields skyrocket to 3.8%

The yield of government bonds with a maturity of 10 years will rise in 2019 to levels that have not been observed since 2010. Such a forecast is given by representatives of the Australian bond fund Daintree Capital, which invests in the debts of developed countries. However, the subsequent growth of the US dollar is […]

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Simplified wave Analysis. Review of the GBP / USD for November 8

Wave pattern graphics H4: From August 15, the trend of the major trend. The first parts of the wave are completely formed. Wave pattern graphics H1: Beginning from September 20, a downward wave zigzag in the H4 wave. Wave pattern graphics M15: The wave of October 30 has a pronounced impulse character. The price is […]

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GBP / USD: plan for the US session on November 8. Bears perform morning setting

To open long positions on GBP / USD, you need: As I expected in my morning review, buyers tried to keep the support level of 1.3105 in the morning, which led to a rebound of the pair. However, when retesting this area, major players left the market. Now, the bulls are left to count on […]

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Oil production in the USA breaks records, which causes OPEC fears

According to the US Department of Energy, commercial reserves of crude oil in the country once again showed growth, updating the record for the extraction of “black gold”. Reserves are growing for the seventh consecutive week, and experts suggest that the United States has already formed an excess of hydrocarbons, which makes OPEC and Russia, […]

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Fractal analysis of major currency pairs for November 8

Dear colleagues. For the Euro / Dollar currency pair, the upward trend continuation is expected after the breakdown of 1.1470 and we consider the downward movement as a correction. For the currency pair Pound / Dollar, we increase the potential for the upward movement to the level of 1.3350. For the currency pair Dollar / […]

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Buy or sell a dollar?

The mid-term elections in the US ended, and the markets felt relieved. Many thought that the separation of Congress and the prospects for a legislative impasse would put pressure on the dollar, but excessive emotionality was unjustified. “We hope that next year we will be able to work together to improve the quality of life […]

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What to expect from the EUR/USD pair or why is now not the best time to buy euros?

In the past few days, the single European currency has been in demand by investors, which is apparently explained by the outcome of the midterm elections in the United States, as well as the expectation that in the near future Britain will be able to reach an agreement with the EU on leaving the country […]

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Indicator analysis. Daily review of the GBP/USD pair on November 8, 2018

On Wednesday, the price moved up and a strong news is scheduled at 18.00 London time. On Thursday, the price will most likely be on the side channel before the news. Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the price will move up with the first target of 1.3358 on the upper fractal, but before the […]

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Indicator analysis. Daily review of EUR / USD pair on November 8, 2018

On Wednesday, the price moved up, reaching a recoil level of 38.2% (yellow dotted line) and after that, it went down quite strongly. Strong news that may affect the market today is scheduled at 18.00 London time. The upper target remains the same at 1.1499 with the recoil level of 38.2% (yellow dashed line). Trend […]

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Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for November 8, 2018

On the weekly chart, the EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a high-probability Head and Shoulders reversal pattern where the right shoulder is currently in progress. On September 10, the price level of 1.1500 offered temporary bullish recovery. Quick bullish movement was demonstrated towards the upper limit of the price range (1.1750). However, the EUR/USD bulls failed […]

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