Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 7/1/19 – 7/5/19 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 7/1/19 through 7/5/19. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive t…

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A pretty strong showing over the last few days – can it last?

I have some doubts and would not be surprised to see a fall. I’m not a forecaster but lots of things look priced about right for now – it’s a matter of where we will be in a year from now. Your guess is as good as mine and I can’t guess it. I’ve b…

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Robbie Burns interview – we want your questions!

Robbie Burns – the Naked Trader – is a man that tends to avoid doing interviews. But with lots of flattery, arm-twisting and the promise of lunch at his favourite restaurant, I’ll be talking to him tomorrow, Wednesday, 20 January.
Robbie occupies a rar…

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Sentiment Indexes and Next-Month Stock Market Return [PREMIUM]

Do sentiment indexes usefully predict U.S. stock market returns? In his May 2018 doctoral thesis entitled “Forecasting Market Direction with Sentiment Indices”, flagged by a subscriber, David Mascio tests whether the following five sentimen…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 5 July 2019) – Monetary Madness

Good morning!Today’s news flow is not particularly exciting, so why don’t we have a quick roundup on markets in general?The FTSE-100 has had a rocket under it since the beginning of June (this is a two-year chart):As you can see, we are stll belows the…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 5 July 2019) –

Good morning! This is the placeholder for the SCVR.
Today we have trading updates from Churchill China (LON:CHH) and Live (LON:LVCG), and a statement by Frontier Smart Technologies (LON:FST).Graham

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Jargon busting the USA for UK investors

Investors in the stock market have a really raw time. Financial jargon often seems to use different interchangeable terms for exactly the same thing – income, profits, earnings – which is which, what do you use, and where? Penetrating this lexicon is e…

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The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville: Charlie Munger

“Table 5 is the record of a friend of mine who is a Harvard Law Graduate, who set up a major law firm. I ran into him in about 1960 and told him that law was a fine hobby but he could do better…”– Warren Buffett’s introduction to Charlie Munger in his…

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Balfour Beatty and the risks of investing in contract businesses

When I bought Balfour Beatty in 2011 the company was still performing well despite some obvious headwinds in the UK and US due to recession-like conditions and government spending cuts in both countries. I thought the company stood a reasonable chance …

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 4 July 2019) – ABF, SOS, JSG, GHT

Good morning, it’s Paul here, for Thursday morning’s report.
Please note that I was adding new sections to yesterday’s report all day, up until finishing at 11:30pm! So it covers 10 companies in total. The new sections added later in the day/evening we…

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Profiting from IPOs – lessons from recent flotations

Financial commentators generally agree that this summer’s EU referendum has stemmed the flow of companies floating on the UK stock market. With uncertainty about how the vote will move prices, companies seem reluctant to press ahead with IPOs (initial …

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Less is more: why too much information leads to costly overconfidence

There was a fascinating story recently about how scientists had detected gravitational waves caused by two black holes merging 1.3 billion years ago. One of the intriguing aspects was how the physicists, who’d spent decades searching for such a wave, m…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 4 July 2019) – ABF, SOS, JSG

Good morning, it’s Paul here, for Thursday morning’s report.
Please note that I was adding new sections to yesterday’s report all day, up until finishing at 11:30pm! So it covers 10 companies in total. The new sections added later in the day/evening we…

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Guru Strategies Review H1 2019: bargain strategies buck the trend

I once observed two people facing the wrong way in one of those wave pools – it didn’t end well for them. 
What looked like a pleasant chat was interrupted by an artificial tsunami. They resurfaced after a second or two, coughing and spluttering, alive…

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Introducing Compound Income

Well here we are a New Year and a new Blog which I hope you will enjoy reading and find informative. I will aim to explain why I focus on Compounding my income and explain the background to my investment approach together with periodic research and upd…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 4 July 2019) – ABF, JSG

Good morning, it’s Paul here, for Thursday morning’s report.
Please note that I was adding new sections to yesterday’s report all day, up until finishing at 11:30pm! So it covers 10 companies in total. The new sections added later in the day/evening we…

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Movers amp; Shakers – January 22 2010

A summary of the latest stock ideas and global insights from the Stockopedia Community.
Markets amp; Macro

Since our last newsletter, there’s been a fair bit of crystal-ball gazing amongst our Contributors. It’s that time of year. Edward Harrison refl…

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Contracts for differences: Are CFDs useful?

Contracts for difference – CFDs – have only been available to private investors since the late 1990s, though institutional investors and hedge funds had already been using them for years. They’re an interesting form of equities derivative, offering the…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 4 July 2019) – placeholder

Good morning, it’s Paul here, for Thursday morning’s report.Please note that I was adding new sections to yesterday’s report all day, up until finishing at 11:30pm! So it covers 10 companies in total. The new sections added later in the day/evening wer…

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Increasing Dividend Pay-Outs Everywhere

Today, Capita Registrars -the data monitoring company- announced in its quarterly Dividend Monitor that dividend pay-outs during the third quarter are at their highest level, surpassing £20bn for the first time since the second quarter 2008. So far thi…

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Growth vs value

There is a lot of debate at the moment as to whether investors should be favouring growth or value. There’s a lot of talking heads telling us what the “pros” have been rotating in and out of, and what the indices have and haven’t done. There’s very lit…

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Malcy’s Oil Report – CHAR, EOG

WTI $56.38 +64c, Brent $63.45 n/c, Diff $7.07 -64c, NG $2.54 -10cOil priceJust how quiet it was in the market yesterday is reflected in the rare occurrence of a n/c in the Brent price. What might we see coming up in the crude market? Well its the expir…

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Semi-Year SNAPS 2019 – how many stocks are enough?

So the first half of 2019 has been a bit of a shocker for the NAPS (my ‘no-admin-portfolio-system’). While the major market indices have bounced from the end of year lows, the NAPS portfolio has languished. The NAPS year to date have generated a -0.1% …

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Why rebalancing is crucial in rule-based investing

Investors have spent decades hunting down ways to profit from stock market anomalies. But in recent years the idea of systematically skimming premiums from the stocks in the market most exposed to factors like size, value, momentum, quality and low vol…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 3 July 2019) – NAR, SOLI

Good morning, it’s Paul here.
I’m up early today, to finish yesterday’s report, so let’s start with that.

Firstly, this section was sent in by Graham
Northamber (LON:NAR)
Share price: 46p (-10%)No. of shares: 27.3 millionMarket cap: £12.5 million
Sal…

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