Term Premium End-of-Month Effect [PREMIUM]

Does the term premium as measured by returns to zero-coupon U.S. Treasury notes (T-notes) concentrate during some part of the monthly cycle? In their August 2019 paper entitled “Predictable End-of-Month Treasury Returns”, Jonathan Hartley a…

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Small Cap Value Report (16 Sep 2019) – Black Gold

Good morning,Timings – I have a lot of other work commitments every day this week, so I plan to write these reports very early – just so you know!Black GoldBrent crude was up as much as 19% overnight, with a high around $70 (versus a close of $60 on Fr…

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 9/9/19 – 9/13/19 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/9/19 through 9/13/19. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive …

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 13 Sep 2019) – CCT

Good afternoon, Graham here.
Paul and I appear to have got our wires crossed about who was doing today’s report.
I’m going to do a late version of the report now, with the help of Jack Brumby.
Sorry for the lack of communication and lateness! We are on…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 13 Sep 2019) – CCT, JDW, GAN, TM17

Good afternoon, Graham here.
Paul and I appear to have got our wires crossed about who was doing today’s report.
I’m going to do a late version of the report now, with the help of Jack Brumby.
Sorry for the lack of communication and lateness! We are on…

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European Stock Return Predictors [PREMIUM]

Can investors effectively use firm characteristics to screen European stocks? In their August 2019 paper entitled “Predictability and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns: Evidence from the European Stock Market”, Wolfgang Drobetz, Rebekka…

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Inflation Forecast Update

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August 2019. The actual total (core) inflation rate for August is lower (higher than) forecasted.
The post Inflation Forecast Update appeared first on CXO…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thu 12 Sep 2019) – TUNE, COM

Hi, it’s Paul here.This is the placeholder for Thursday’s reader comments.
Estimated timings for today’s report: as usual this week, I’ll be writing mainly from late morning, until estimated completion time of 5pm.
To get the early birds started, here …

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High flying growth stocks that are resisting market jitters

Over the past two years, there’s been a quite understandable sense of unease among investors. Confidence has been knocked by the unpredictability of Brexit and the trajectory of economic growth at home and abroad. Like the dull thud of a mild headache,…

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Evaluating Country Investment Risk

How should global investors assess country sovereign bond and equity risks? In his July 2019 paper entitled “Country Risk: Determinants, Measures and Implications – The 2019 Edition”, Aswath Damodaran examines country risk from multiple per…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 11 Sep 2019) – BOTB, SFOR, EPWN, PEB

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Good morning! I’m settling into a pattern of writing from late morning, through to tea time, which works best for me. Therefore today’s report estimated time of completion is 5pm.
Update at 16:57 – today’s report is now finished.  I…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 11 Sep 2019) – BOTB, EPWN

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Good morning! I’m settling into a pattern of writing from late morning, through to tea time, which works best for me. Therefore today’s report estimated time of completion is 5pm.I see we have 1 or 2 subscribers who insist on giving…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 11 Sep 2019) – BOTB, SFOR, EPWN

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Good morning! I’m settling into a pattern of writing from late morning, through to tea time, which works best for me. Therefore today’s report estimated time of completion is 5pm.
I see we have 1 or 2 subscribers who insist on givin…

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SIF Folio: Gulf Keystone Petroleum could be a bargain super stock

It may not be a fashionable view, but I like to have some oil exposure in my portfolios. I’ve enjoyed some decent profits from this sector over the years. I also expect oil and gas to remain an important part of the energy mix for several decades to co…

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Small Cap Value Report (Tue 10 Sep 2019) – SBIZ

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Here is the placeholder for Tuesday’s reader comments.
Estimated timings for today’s report – similar to yesterday. I’ll start writing sections from late morning, then will work mainly in the afternoon. Estimated completion time: 5 …

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Small Cap Value Report (Tue 10 Sep 2019) – SBIZ, ARE

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Here is the placeholder for Tuesday’s reader comments.
Estimated timings for today’s report – similar to yesterday. I’ll start writing sections from late morning, then will work mainly in the afternoon. Estimated completion time: 5 …

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Small Cap Value Report (Tue 10 Sep 2019) – SBIZ, ARE, RAI

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Here is the placeholder for Tuesday’s reader comments.
Estimated timings for today’s report – similar to yesterday. I’ll start writing sections from late morning, then will work mainly in the afternoon. Estimated completion time: 5 …

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Small Cap Value Report (Tue 10 Sep 2019) – SBIZ, ARE, RAI, TPG

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Here is the placeholder for Tuesday’s reader comments.
Estimated timings for today’s report – similar to yesterday. I’ll start writing sections from late morning, then will work mainly in the afternoon. Estimated completion time: 5 …

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 9 Sep 2019) – TENG, FLTA, UPGS, MGP

Hi, it’s Paul here.
Here is the placeholder for Monday’s reader comments.
I’m on the afternoon shift today, so estimated time of completion here is 5pm.

Ten Lifestyle (LON:TENG)
Share price: 119p (up 3.5% today, at 11:57)No. shares: 80.65mMarket cap:…

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 9/3/19 – 9/6/19 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/3/19 through 9/6/19. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive t…

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