As Brexit beckons… what’s in store for the market?

It’s been just over three years since the EU referendum but it’s still not clear what Britain’s exit from the EU will really look like – assuming, of course, that it happens at all.
This week, as we edge closer to the next notional departure date on Oc…

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Investment Strategy Development Tournaments? [PREMIUM]

Is there a way that asset managers can share knowledge/data across proprietary boundaries with many researchers to advance development of investment strategies? In their September 2019 paper entitled “Crowdsourced Investment Research through Tour…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 16 Oct 2019) – LGRS, TSTL, AUG

Good morning, it’s Paul here.
Estimated time of completion today: 3pm.
Update at 14:49 – today’s report is now finished.

Bregg-zit
It looks as if compromise is in the air.
FWIW, my view is that a last-minute compromise deal, or fudge of some kind, is …

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SIF Folio: I think mining with BHP could still be profitable

For a number of weeks, FTSE 100 commodity producer BHP Group (LON: BHP) has been sitting in my Stock in Focus screening results. I have to admit that until now, I’ve avoided considering this stock for the SIF portfolio.
There have been legitimate reaso…

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Compendium of Recent “Long Run” Research

The following list links to summaries of recent (since 2010) investment research using long data samples. These summaries may be helpful in developing strategic allocations and tactical wariness for long-horizon investments. “Commodity Futures Ri…

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Small Cap Value Report (Mon 14 Oct 2019) – CBOX, SYS1, RNO, YGEN, SPA

Good morning, it’s Paul here, I’m on duty this week.
Estimated completion time today is 4pm. So please check back later for the completed report. Update at 16:40 – today’s report is now finished.
I see there is another takeover bid of a UK-listed mid-c…

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 10/7/19 – 10/11/19 [PREMIUM]

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 10/7/19 through 10/11/19. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receiv…

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Commodity Futures Risk Premium Over the Long Run [PREMIUM]

What are long run returns for commodity futures? In their September 2019 paper entitled “The Commodity Futures Risk Premium: 1871-2018”, Geetesh Bhardwaj, Rajkumar Janardanan and Geert Rouwenhorst estimate the historical risk premium of com…

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Small Cap Value Report (Fri 11 Oct 2019) – QUIZ, XAR, IFRS 16

Good morning, let’s take a look at:
QUIZ (LON:QUIZ)Xaar (LON:XAR)Not sure if there is anything else worth covering. I might just add a few thoughts on IFRS 16.

QUIZ (LON:QUIZ)
Share price: 16.18p (-3%)No. of shares: 124 millionMarket cap: £20 milli…

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Inflation Forecast Update

The Inflation Forecast now incorporates actual total and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September 2019. The actual total (core) inflation rate for September is lower (a little lower than) forecasted.
The post Inflation Forecast Update appeare…

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Bond Returns Over the Very Long Run [PREMIUM]

Do bonds have a bad rap based on an unfavorable subsample? In the September 2019 revisions of his papers entitled “The US Bond Market Before 1926: Investor Total Return from 1793, Comparing Federal, Municipal, and Corporate Bonds Part I: 1793 to …

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 10 Oct 2019) – OTMP, MCL, CTP, NMRP

Good morning!
Thanks for your suggestions.
Let’s take a look at:
Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)Morses Club (LON:MCL)Castleton Technology (LON:CTP)National Milk Records (OFEX:NMRP)
Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)
Share price: 81.75p (-2%)No. of shares: 64 millionMa…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 10 Oct 2019) – OTMP

Good morning!Thanks for your suggestions.Let’s take a look at:Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)Morses Club (LON:MCL)Castleton Technology (LON:CTP)National Milk Records (OFEX:NMRP)(provisional list)Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)Share price:No. of shares:Market cap:

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 10 Oct 2019) – OTMP, MCL

Good morning!
Thanks for your suggestions.
Let’s take a look at:
Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)Morses Club (LON:MCL)Castleton Technology (LON:CTP)National Milk Records (OFEX:NMRP)(provisional list)

Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)
Share price: 81.75p (-2%)No. of s…

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Small Cap Value Report (Thur 10 Oct 2019) – OTMP, MCL, CTP

Good morning!
Thanks for your suggestions.
Let’s take a look at:
Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)Morses Club (LON:MCL)Castleton Technology (LON:CTP)National Milk Records (OFEX:NMRP)(provisional list)

Onthemarket (LON:OTMP)
Share price: 81.75p (-2%)No. of s…

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Zulu growth stocks passing Jim Slateramp;rsquo;s investing rules

Jim Slater, the businessman and one of Britain’s most popular share traders, once wrote that “investment is essentially the arbitrage of ignorance”. He insisted that individual DIY investors could get an edge against professional money managers by goin…

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Systemic Risk Impacts of Growth in Passive Investing [PREMIUM]

How does a shift in emphasis from active to passive investing affect the financial market risk landscape? In their September 2019 paper entitled “The Shift From Active to Passive Investing: Potential Risks to Financial Stability?”, Kenechuk…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 9 Oct 2019) – RCN, AFM

Good morning,
A few bits to cover today.
Redcentric (LON:RCN)Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (LON:AFM)Tricorn (LON:TCN)Vertu Motors (LON:VTU)Volution (LON:FAN)Codemasters Group (LON:CDM)

Redcentric (LON:RCN)
Share price: 85.9p (-0.1%)No. of …

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 9 Oct 2019) – RCN, TCN, VTU, FAN

Good morning,
A few bits to cover today.
Redcentric (LON:RCN)Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (LON:AFM) – dropped this one, as not interesting enough!Tricorn (LON:TCN)Vertu Motors (LON:VTU)Volution (LON:FAN)Codemasters Group (LON:CDM)
Redcentri…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 9 Oct 2019) – RCN, TCN, VTU, FAN, CDM

Good morning,
A few bits to cover today.
Redcentric (LON:RCN)Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (LON:AFM) – dropped this one, as not interesting enough!Tricorn (LON:TCN)Vertu Motors (LON:VTU)Volution (LON:FAN)Codemasters Group (LON:CDM)
Redcentri…

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Small Cap Value Report (Wed 9 Oct 2019) – RCN

Good morning,
A few bits to cover today.Redcentric (LON:RCN)Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (LON:AFM)Tricorn (LON:TCN)Vertu Motors (LON:VTU)Volution (LON:FAN)Codemasters Group (LON:CDM)
Redcentric (LON:RCN)
Share price:No. of shares:Market ca…

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