Plus500

  • The Bond King Says "Short U.S. Stock"

    Image result for jeffrey gundlachShort the SP500…..That’s not something most investors would consider right now. After all, US stocks have been rallying for eight straight years. At this point, it’s hard to even remember what a down market feels like.

    But that’s exactly what Jeff Gundlach thinks you should do. Gundlach, as you may know, is one of the world’s brightest investors. He manages more than $100 billion at his firm DoubleLine Capital.

    On Monday, he told a room full of investors at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York to short (bet against) the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). This fund tracks the S&P 500. It’s the most heavily traded ETF on the planet.

    It’s a bold call, to say the least.…
    But Gundlach has a history of nailing calls like this. At last year’s Sohn Conference, he told investors to short the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) and buy the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM). If you had taken Gundlach’s advice, you’d be up 40% on this trade today. Gundlach was also one of the few people to predict that Donald Trump would become president of the United States. In June, he told CNBC:

    People aren’t getting along, they’re not happy because of technology taking jobs, and sort of this long, slow grind of a new economy. And so they’re looking for change, and I think Trump is going to win on the basis of that.

    In other words, it pays to listen to Gundlach.…
    But here’s the thing. Gundlach doesn’t think you should get out of stocks completely. Instead, he thinks you should “go long” emerging markets. These are countries that are on their way to becoming “developed” countries like the United States. Brazil, Russia, India, and China (also known as the “BRICs”) are the largest emerging markets.

    On Monday, Gundlach told investors at the Sohn Conference to buy the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), which tracks over 800 emerging market stocks. It’s one of the safest and most diversified ways to play emerging markets. Of course, you would have already known that if you’ve been reading the Dispatch.

    After all, I’ve been pounding the table on emerging market stocks for months.…
    In February, I outlined the bullish case for emerging markets. A month later, I told investors to “forget about US stocks” and consider emerging market stocks. I even recommended checking out EEM, just like Gundlach. Not only that, Gundlach likes emerging markets for the same reasons we do. I’ll share those with you in a moment. But let’s first look at why the “Bond King” thinks you should short the S&P 500.

    U.S. stocks are incredibly expensive.…
    Just look at this chart. It compares the total market value of the S&P 500 with the annual economic output of the United States, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP). This key ratio is now at the highest level since the dot com bubble.



    US stocks aren’t just expensive from a historical perspective, either.…
    They’re also much more expensive than emerging market stocks. Gundlach explained to CNBC on Monday:

    The valuation of emerging markets is half the valuation of the S&P 500 when you look at things like price to sales, price to book, [and] Dr. Shiller’s CAPE ratio.

    Dispatch readers know CAPE stands for cyclically adjusted price to earnings. It’s the cousin of the popular price to earnings (P/E) ratio. The only difference is that it uses 10 years’ worth of earnings instead of one. But just like the P/E ratio, a high CAPE ratio means stocks are expensive. You can see below that the CAPE ratio has surged to 29.5. That’s 76% higher than the S&P 500’s historical average. US stocks have only been this expensive two times in history: just before the Great Depression and during the dot com bubble. Meanwhile, the CAPE ratio for EEM is floating around 14, meaning it’s 52% cheaper than SPY.

    To be fair, emerging market stocks have been cheaper than US stocks for years.…
    And they’ve still underperformed them. But that’s starting to change. Just look at the chart below. It compares the performance of the S&P 500 with EEM. When this line is rising, it means US stocks are doing better than emerging market stocks.


    You can see that’s been the case for years. But this key ratio just broke a long term upward trend line.
    This tells us that emerging market stocks should outperform US stocks for years to come.

    If you haven’t already, I recommend you pick up some emerging market stocks today.…
    The easiest way to do this is with EEM or another major emerging market fund. These funds will give you broad exposure to emerging markets. Once you build a core position in emerging markets, you could consider investing in individual emerging markets. Right now, three of our favorite emerging markets are Poland, Colombia, and India.

    As for U.S. stocks, I wouldn’t encourage everyday investors to short the S&P 500 like Gundlach recommends. Instead, I suggest you be very selective about what U.S. stocks you own. Avoid stocks trading at nosebleed valuations. Own companies with resilient business models and little debt.

    The article “The Bond King” Says Short US Stocks was originally published at caseyresearch.com.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • The Bond King Says "Short U.S. Stock"

    Image result for jeffrey gundlachShort the SP500…..That’s not something most investors would consider right now. After all, US stocks have been rallying for eight straight years. At this point, it’s hard to even remember what a down market feels like.

    But that’s exactly what Jeff Gundlach thinks you should do. Gundlach, as you may know, is one of the world’s brightest investors. He manages more than $100 billion at his firm DoubleLine Capital.

    On Monday, he told a room full of investors at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York to short (bet against) the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). This fund tracks the S&P 500. It’s the most heavily traded ETF on the planet.

    It’s a bold call, to say the least.…
    But Gundlach has a history of nailing calls like this. At last year’s Sohn Conference, he told investors to short the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) and buy the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM). If you had taken Gundlach’s advice, you’d be up 40% on this trade today. Gundlach was also one of the few people to predict that Donald Trump would become president of the United States. In June, he told CNBC:

    People aren’t getting along, they’re not happy because of technology taking jobs, and sort of this long, slow grind of a new economy. And so they’re looking for change, and I think Trump is going to win on the basis of that.

    In other words, it pays to listen to Gundlach.…
    But here’s the thing. Gundlach doesn’t think you should get out of stocks completely. Instead, he thinks you should “go long” emerging markets. These are countries that are on their way to becoming “developed” countries like the United States. Brazil, Russia, India, and China (also known as the “BRICs”) are the largest emerging markets.

    On Monday, Gundlach told investors at the Sohn Conference to buy the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), which tracks over 800 emerging market stocks. It’s one of the safest and most diversified ways to play emerging markets. Of course, you would have already known that if you’ve been reading the Dispatch.

    After all, I’ve been pounding the table on emerging market stocks for months.…
    In February, I outlined the bullish case for emerging markets. A month later, I told investors to “forget about US stocks” and consider emerging market stocks. I even recommended checking out EEM, just like Gundlach. Not only that, Gundlach likes emerging markets for the same reasons we do. I’ll share those with you in a moment. But let’s first look at why the “Bond King” thinks you should short the S&P 500.

    U.S. stocks are incredibly expensive.…
    Just look at this chart. It compares the total market value of the S&P 500 with the annual economic output of the United States, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP). This key ratio is now at the highest level since the dot com bubble.



    US stocks aren’t just expensive from a historical perspective, either.…
    They’re also much more expensive than emerging market stocks. Gundlach explained to CNBC on Monday:

    The valuation of emerging markets is half the valuation of the S&P 500 when you look at things like price to sales, price to book, [and] Dr. Shiller’s CAPE ratio.

    Dispatch readers know CAPE stands for cyclically adjusted price to earnings. It’s the cousin of the popular price to earnings (P/E) ratio. The only difference is that it uses 10 years’ worth of earnings instead of one. But just like the P/E ratio, a high CAPE ratio means stocks are expensive. You can see below that the CAPE ratio has surged to 29.5. That’s 76% higher than the S&P 500’s historical average. US stocks have only been this expensive two times in history: just before the Great Depression and during the dot com bubble. Meanwhile, the CAPE ratio for EEM is floating around 14, meaning it’s 52% cheaper than SPY.

    To be fair, emerging market stocks have been cheaper than US stocks for years.…
    And they’ve still underperformed them. But that’s starting to change. Just look at the chart below. It compares the performance of the S&P 500 with EEM. When this line is rising, it means US stocks are doing better than emerging market stocks.


    You can see that’s been the case for years. But this key ratio just broke a long term upward trend line.
    This tells us that emerging market stocks should outperform US stocks for years to come.

    If you haven’t already, I recommend you pick up some emerging market stocks today.…
    The easiest way to do this is with EEM or another major emerging market fund. These funds will give you broad exposure to emerging markets. Once you build a core position in emerging markets, you could consider investing in individual emerging markets. Right now, three of our favorite emerging markets are Poland, Colombia, and India.

    As for U.S. stocks, I wouldn’t encourage everyday investors to short the S&P 500 like Gundlach recommends. Instead, I suggest you be very selective about what U.S. stocks you own. Avoid stocks trading at nosebleed valuations. Own companies with resilient business models and little debt.

    The article “The Bond King” Says Short US Stocks was originally published at caseyresearch.com.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Doctors Speak Out and Traders Listen

    Our readers, and traders in general, are a smart bunch so we know you will appreciate this. We want to let you know about something I don’t think you’ll want to miss. Two of the pioneers of “natural health” websites, Andrew Saul and Dr. Joe Mercola, ar…

    Stock Trkr
  • Doctors Speak Out and Traders Listen

    Our readers, and traders in general, are a smart bunch so we know you will appreciate this. We want to let you know about something I don’t think you’ll want to miss. Two of the pioneers of “natural health” websites, Andrew Saul and Dr. Joe Mercola, ar…

    Stock Trkr
  • Force Winning Trades While Reducing Your Trading Risk to Zero….New Video

    Every time you lose money in the market, someone on the other side of the trade is grinning their fool head off because they won and you let them do it. Discover how savvy insiders make sure every trade is won before it’s even placed. And you can do it too!

    Todd “Bubba” Horwitz is a renowned floor trader, market maker and senior analyst who is frequently interviewed by FOX News, CNBC, Bloomberg Networks and other media giants. Horwitz just released a power packed special report no trader should be without. And today, you can download it here for FREE

    Here’s an example of what Todd will be sharing with us….

      *  Discover a clever insider trick that gives you free trade protection reducing your risk to zero!

      *  Get 13 free cash payouts, all legal and above board

      *  Learn how to setup Bubba’s proprietary “Anchor Spread Trade” providing no cost protection, steady income, and supercharged portfolio growth

      *  Find out if you’re overlooking any of Bubba’s 4 “Cornerstones” because each one can make a world of difference to your profitability

      *  Use Bubba’s sophisticated, yet easy to follow, Endowment Model to create vast wealth during the next market collapse

    And much, much more!

    There’s been a lot of speculation lately over the strength and longevity of the “Trump Bump”….Bump or Slump don’t sweat it….Let’s exploit it!

    Click HERE NOW and you can be “Sure to Profit” Regardless

    See you in the markets,
    Ray @ the Crude Oil Trader

    P.S. You’ll also gain access to an exciting 10 minute video revealing an easy way to create instant cash flow on a shoestring budget. Get FREE eBook and Watch Video Here

    Option and stock investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors. Only invest money you can afford to lose in stocks and options. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The trade entry and exit prices represent the price of the security at the time the recommendation was made. The trade record does not represent actual investment results. Trade examples are simulated and have certain limitations. Simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Force Winning Trades While Reducing Your Trading Risk to Zero….New Video

    Every time you lose money in the market, someone on the other side of the trade is grinning their fool head off because they won and you let them do it. Discover how savvy insiders make sure every trade is won before it’s even placed. And you can do it too!

    Todd “Bubba” Horwitz is a renowned floor trader, market maker and senior analyst who is frequently interviewed by FOX News, CNBC, Bloomberg Networks and other media giants. Horwitz just released a power packed special report no trader should be without. And today, you can download it here for FREE

    Here’s an example of what Todd will be sharing with us….

      *  Discover a clever insider trick that gives you free trade protection reducing your risk to zero!

      *  Get 13 free cash payouts, all legal and above board

      *  Learn how to setup Bubba’s proprietary “Anchor Spread Trade” providing no cost protection, steady income, and supercharged portfolio growth

      *  Find out if you’re overlooking any of Bubba’s 4 “Cornerstones” because each one can make a world of difference to your profitability

      *  Use Bubba’s sophisticated, yet easy to follow, Endowment Model to create vast wealth during the next market collapse

    And much, much more!

    There’s been a lot of speculation lately over the strength and longevity of the “Trump Bump”….Bump or Slump don’t sweat it….Let’s exploit it!

    Click HERE NOW and you can be “Sure to Profit” Regardless

    See you in the markets,
    Ray @ the Crude Oil Trader

    P.S. You’ll also gain access to an exciting 10 minute video revealing an easy way to create instant cash flow on a shoestring budget. Get FREE eBook and Watch Video Here

    Option and stock investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors. Only invest money you can afford to lose in stocks and options. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The trade entry and exit prices represent the price of the security at the time the recommendation was made. The trade record does not represent actual investment results. Trade examples are simulated and have certain limitations. Simulated results do not represent actual trading. Since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under or over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, NASDAQ 100 and More

    Trading for the week of May 1st through May 5th ended with the SP500 hitting a new record high on a rebound in U.S. job growth, U.S. non-farm payrolls grew by 211,000 jobs last in April. After plummeting a day earlier Crude Oil and energy prices rebounded on news that Saudi Arabia and Russia are ready to join in on OPEC production cuts.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Crude oil futures in the June contract are up 60 cents this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 46.10 a barrel breaking the low that was hit on March 27th at 47.63 this week. I think prices could re-test the November low around the $42 level as the trend remains to the downside. Crude oil prices are trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average as the precious metals & the entire energy sector continue to be under pressure over the last several weeks. My only recommendation is a short natural Gas position. The chart structure in crude oil is not that great, and I will wait for the monetary risk to be lowered. I’m certainly not advising any type of bullish position as this markets trend is negative and coupled with the fact of very poor fundamentals as worldwide supplies are massive as now the problem could be waning demand. Oil prices traded above $53 in mid April as prices have now dropped about $7 a barrel rather quickly, so let’s keep a close eye on this market for a possible short position in the coming days ahead.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term GOLD Projections

    Gold futures in the June contract are unchanged this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 1,228 an ounce after settling last week at 1,268 down about $60 and continuing its bearish momentum. I was looking at a short position. However, I did not take the trade as the chart structure and the risk did not meet my criteria to enter into a trade. I’m certainly not recommending any type of bullish position as I still think lower prices are ahead. Gold futures have now hit a 7 week low trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average. I will look for some type of price rally before entering a short position as the next major level of support is all the way down to the 1,200 level with Silver and platinum hitting recent lows helping to put pressure on gold prices. If the 1,200 level is broken we could retest the contract lows that were hit on December 15th 2016 at the 1,130 level. I see no reason to own gold at present as the stock market continues to move higher on a weekly basis as that’s where all the action is at the moment.
    Trend: Lower – Mixed
    Chart Structure: Solid – Improving

    Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 17.26 while currently trading at 16.33 an ounce. It’s down nearly $1 for the trading week and selling off about $2.40 since the April 17th high around 18.72. That was a 5 month high and prices have just absolutely fallen out of bed. I have not been involved in silver for several months as the chart structure is terrible at the present time therefore the monetary risk does not meet my criteria, and it looks to me that prices could retest the December 23rd low around 15.84. Prices are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the short term trend is lower as money flows are coming out of the precious metals and into the equity markets. The volatility in silver and many of the other commodity sectors is starting to rise as we enter the volatile summer season. I’m not involved in any precious metals at the current time as I was stopped out of Copper earlier in the week.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    The NASDAQ 100 in the June contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 5580 while currently trading at 5637 up nearly 60 points and continuing to hit record highs on a weekly basis. I’m not involved in this market, but I am bullish and I do think prices are headed higher. If you’re long a futures contract, I would place the stop-loss under the 10 day low standing at 5471 as the risk is still about $3,300 per mini contract plus slippage & commission, but I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as this market has good momentum to the upside. Obamacare looks to be on its last legs with the House of Representatives passing phase 1 of the new healthcare bill which is also bullish this market. I think that the DOW Jones and the S&P 500 will soon follow, but the tech industry is on fire with outstanding earnings almost across the board with Google and Amazon continuing to propel this market higher. The NASDAQ is trading far above it’s 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher. Low-interest rates and great optimism about future growth in the United States continue to push prices higher.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Wheat, sugar, Corn and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, NASDAQ 100 and More

    Trading for the week of May 1st through May 5th ended with the SP500 hitting a new record high on a rebound in U.S. job growth, U.S. non-farm payrolls grew by 211,000 jobs last in April. After plummeting a day earlier Crude Oil and energy prices rebounded on news that Saudi Arabia and Russia are ready to join in on OPEC production cuts.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Crude oil futures in the June contract are up 60 cents this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 46.10 a barrel breaking the low that was hit on March 27th at 47.63 this week. I think prices could re-test the November low around the $42 level as the trend remains to the downside. Crude oil prices are trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average as the precious metals & the entire energy sector continue to be under pressure over the last several weeks. My only recommendation is a short natural Gas position. The chart structure in crude oil is not that great, and I will wait for the monetary risk to be lowered. I’m certainly not advising any type of bullish position as this markets trend is negative and coupled with the fact of very poor fundamentals as worldwide supplies are massive as now the problem could be waning demand. Oil prices traded above $53 in mid April as prices have now dropped about $7 a barrel rather quickly, so let’s keep a close eye on this market for a possible short position in the coming days ahead.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term GOLD Projections

    Gold futures in the June contract are unchanged this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 1,228 an ounce after settling last week at 1,268 down about $60 and continuing its bearish momentum. I was looking at a short position. However, I did not take the trade as the chart structure and the risk did not meet my criteria to enter into a trade. I’m certainly not recommending any type of bullish position as I still think lower prices are ahead. Gold futures have now hit a 7 week low trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average. I will look for some type of price rally before entering a short position as the next major level of support is all the way down to the 1,200 level with Silver and platinum hitting recent lows helping to put pressure on gold prices. If the 1,200 level is broken we could retest the contract lows that were hit on December 15th 2016 at the 1,130 level. I see no reason to own gold at present as the stock market continues to move higher on a weekly basis as that’s where all the action is at the moment.
    Trend: Lower – Mixed
    Chart Structure: Solid – Improving

    Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 17.26 while currently trading at 16.33 an ounce. It’s down nearly $1 for the trading week and selling off about $2.40 since the April 17th high around 18.72. That was a 5 month high and prices have just absolutely fallen out of bed. I have not been involved in silver for several months as the chart structure is terrible at the present time therefore the monetary risk does not meet my criteria, and it looks to me that prices could retest the December 23rd low around 15.84. Prices are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the short term trend is lower as money flows are coming out of the precious metals and into the equity markets. The volatility in silver and many of the other commodity sectors is starting to rise as we enter the volatile summer season. I’m not involved in any precious metals at the current time as I was stopped out of Copper earlier in the week.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    The NASDAQ 100 in the June contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 5580 while currently trading at 5637 up nearly 60 points and continuing to hit record highs on a weekly basis. I’m not involved in this market, but I am bullish and I do think prices are headed higher. If you’re long a futures contract, I would place the stop-loss under the 10 day low standing at 5471 as the risk is still about $3,300 per mini contract plus slippage & commission, but I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as this market has good momentum to the upside. Obamacare looks to be on its last legs with the House of Representatives passing phase 1 of the new healthcare bill which is also bullish this market. I think that the DOW Jones and the S&P 500 will soon follow, but the tech industry is on fire with outstanding earnings almost across the board with Google and Amazon continuing to propel this market higher. The NASDAQ is trading far above it’s 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher. Low-interest rates and great optimism about future growth in the United States continue to push prices higher.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Wheat, sugar, Corn and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Natural Gas, Gold, Silver, NASDAQ 100 and More

    Trading for the week of April 24th through April 28th ended with the 3 major indexes again closing lower. The markets appear overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June contracts extend this year’s rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard…or impossible to project.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Natural Gas futures in the June contract are currently trading at 3.28 after settling last Friday in New York at 3.19. I have been recommending a short position from the 3.17 level and if you took that trade continue to place your stop loss above the 10 day high standing at 3.33. The original risk was around $800 per 2 mini contracts plus slippage and commission. The chart structure in natural gas is outstanding at the present time as prices are above their 20 and 100 day moving average. Colder temperatures in the Midwestern part of the United States are pushing up prices here the last several days, but I will remain short & place the proper stop loss. Many of the commodity markets have experienced incredibly choppy trends in 2017. However, we are entering the summer months and historically speaking the trends and the volatility come back, so we will have to be patient. Natural gas supplies are still extremely high and that is why this market has been in a bearish trend for several years.
    Trend: Lower- Mixed
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term GOLD Projections

    Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,289 an ounce while currently trading at 1,267 down about $20 for the week. I’m currently sitting on the sidelines as prices have now hit a 2 week low and my bias is to the downside. I am bullish the stock market & I think money flows are going to continue to come out of the precious metals and into the equity market and I’m looking at a short position in the next week or so. Gold prices are trading under their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average topping out around the 1,300 level 2 weeks ago. Prices have been in rally mode in 2017 due to geopolitical tensions throughout the world. I’ve stated in many previous blogs these always seem to fade away and that’s exactly what’s happening right now as Silver prices continue their decline and I think that will start to put pressure on gold prices here in the short term. If you are bearish gold, my recommendation would be to sell at today’s price level while placing the stop loss above 1,300 as an exit strategy. I will continue to sit on the sidelines as I’m waiting for better chart structure. Therefore, the monetary risk would be lowered as the risk is too high in my opinion at this point time. However, I am certainly bearish gold.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Silver futures in the July contract have traded lower 9 out of the last 10 trading sessions after settling last Friday in New York at 17.93 while currently trading at 17.22 down over $0.70 for the trading week hitting a 6 week low. I’m not currently involved in this market as the chart structure is terrible. Therefore, the monetary risk is too high. Silver prices are now trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average with major support back down at the 17 level as the equity markets in the United States continue to hit all time highs. Money flows are coming out of the precious metals so avoid this market as there really is no trend. At the current time, my only recommendation in the precious metals is a short a Copper position. I’m negative on gold, but not involved as I still think stocks move higher. Therefore, the precious metals should continue to drift lower. Avoid this market at the present time & look at other trends with better chart structure and a better risk/reward scenario as the trends in 2017 have been tough to come by.
    Trend: Lower – Mixed
    Chart Structure: Poor

    The NASDAQ 100 settled last Friday in Chicago at 5442 while currently trading at 5581 up about 140 points for the week hitting another record high this week. As I’ve talked about in previous blogs, I’m not involved in this market. However, I’m extremely bullish and still think higher prices are ahead as I’m certainly not recommending any type of bearish position as this trend is very strong. The problem with this market is the chart structure is poor and there is a price gap around the 5460 level. I’m hoping that the price gets filled before entering into a bullish position as prices are trading far above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that this trend is strong and who knows how high prices can go. If you take a look at the DOW Jones and the S&P 500, they have not hit all time highs. I think both of those markets will continue to catch up to the NASDAQ as money flows are finally coming out of the precious metals and into the equity market as the Trump administration tax plans are finally starting to be released. That is extremely bullish for companies in the United States as now it could be a fair game worldwide for the first time in decades. Remember Apple Computer did $80 billion last year in profits and if you take a 20% reduction in taxes which is an increase of $16 billion for one company per year. That is why you see these markets explode to the upside and this will continue in my opinion.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Copper, Soybean, Wheat and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Natural Gas, Gold, Silver, NASDAQ 100 and More

    Trading for the week of April 24th through April 28th ended with the 3 major indexes again closing lower. The markets appear overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If June contracts extend this year’s rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard…or impossible to project.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Natural Gas futures in the June contract are currently trading at 3.28 after settling last Friday in New York at 3.19. I have been recommending a short position from the 3.17 level and if you took that trade continue to place your stop loss above the 10 day high standing at 3.33. The original risk was around $800 per 2 mini contracts plus slippage and commission. The chart structure in natural gas is outstanding at the present time as prices are above their 20 and 100 day moving average. Colder temperatures in the Midwestern part of the United States are pushing up prices here the last several days, but I will remain short & place the proper stop loss. Many of the commodity markets have experienced incredibly choppy trends in 2017. However, we are entering the summer months and historically speaking the trends and the volatility come back, so we will have to be patient. Natural gas supplies are still extremely high and that is why this market has been in a bearish trend for several years.
    Trend: Lower- Mixed
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term GOLD Projections

    Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,289 an ounce while currently trading at 1,267 down about $20 for the week. I’m currently sitting on the sidelines as prices have now hit a 2 week low and my bias is to the downside. I am bullish the stock market & I think money flows are going to continue to come out of the precious metals and into the equity market and I’m looking at a short position in the next week or so. Gold prices are trading under their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average topping out around the 1,300 level 2 weeks ago. Prices have been in rally mode in 2017 due to geopolitical tensions throughout the world. I’ve stated in many previous blogs these always seem to fade away and that’s exactly what’s happening right now as Silver prices continue their decline and I think that will start to put pressure on gold prices here in the short term. If you are bearish gold, my recommendation would be to sell at today’s price level while placing the stop loss above 1,300 as an exit strategy. I will continue to sit on the sidelines as I’m waiting for better chart structure. Therefore, the monetary risk would be lowered as the risk is too high in my opinion at this point time. However, I am certainly bearish gold.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Silver futures in the July contract have traded lower 9 out of the last 10 trading sessions after settling last Friday in New York at 17.93 while currently trading at 17.22 down over $0.70 for the trading week hitting a 6 week low. I’m not currently involved in this market as the chart structure is terrible. Therefore, the monetary risk is too high. Silver prices are now trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average with major support back down at the 17 level as the equity markets in the United States continue to hit all time highs. Money flows are coming out of the precious metals so avoid this market as there really is no trend. At the current time, my only recommendation in the precious metals is a short a Copper position. I’m negative on gold, but not involved as I still think stocks move higher. Therefore, the precious metals should continue to drift lower. Avoid this market at the present time & look at other trends with better chart structure and a better risk/reward scenario as the trends in 2017 have been tough to come by.
    Trend: Lower – Mixed
    Chart Structure: Poor

    The NASDAQ 100 settled last Friday in Chicago at 5442 while currently trading at 5581 up about 140 points for the week hitting another record high this week. As I’ve talked about in previous blogs, I’m not involved in this market. However, I’m extremely bullish and still think higher prices are ahead as I’m certainly not recommending any type of bearish position as this trend is very strong. The problem with this market is the chart structure is poor and there is a price gap around the 5460 level. I’m hoping that the price gets filled before entering into a bullish position as prices are trading far above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that this trend is strong and who knows how high prices can go. If you take a look at the DOW Jones and the S&P 500, they have not hit all time highs. I think both of those markets will continue to catch up to the NASDAQ as money flows are finally coming out of the precious metals and into the equity market as the Trump administration tax plans are finally starting to be released. That is extremely bullish for companies in the United States as now it could be a fair game worldwide for the first time in decades. Remember Apple Computer did $80 billion last year in profits and if you take a 20% reduction in taxes which is an increase of $16 billion for one company per year. That is why you see these markets explode to the upside and this will continue in my opinion.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Poor

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Copper, Soybean, Wheat and more….Just Click Here!

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  • OPEC Optimism: Is It Sustainable?

    Is the Crude Oil Market still under pressure from OPEC’s expectations? Chris Kairinos, Rand Merchant Bank You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#211182 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en su idioma: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvspanish Schauen Sie Dukascopy TV in Ihrer Sprache: […]

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  • Free Webinar: Mysterious “Growth Windows” in Coca Cola, Corn Futures, British Pound & More

    Growth Window Anomaly 

    Our trading partners at Trademiner Elite are back with another great free webinar. These events fill fast and to capacity every time they offer one so don’t delay in getting your reserved seat.

    In this training you’ll discover…..

    • A set of mysterious price patterns that’ve been repeating – every year – in major stocks,commodity futures AND Forex pairs
    • Why Williams Companies (WMB) has been up 9% on average between March 23rd and April 27th – every year since 2006
    • Why Coca Cola (KO) has been up an average of 3% over the same mysterious 14 day window dating back to 2007
    • Why Deere & Company (DE) has been up 9% on average over its 35 day “growth window” for the last 14 years
    • The secret to identifying and trading these hidden patterns – with the convenience of a simply Google search

    Spots On These Webinar Events Are Strictly Limited

    With the quality of the information we’re giving out – there’s a good chance it will fill up. Please register now while there are still spots available. You’ll have three times and days to choose from….Pick from one of the following!

    Tuesday April 25th 2017 at 2:45 pm
    Wednesday April 26th 2017 at 3:00 pm
    Thursday April 27th 2017 at 3:00 pm

    Visit Here to Register Today!

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  • Free Webinar: Mysterious “Growth Windows” in Coca Cola, Corn Futures, British Pound & More

    Growth Window Anomaly 

    Our trading partners at Trademiner Elite are back with another great free webinar. These events fill fast and to capacity every time they offer one so don’t delay in getting your reserved seat.

    In this training you’ll discover…..

    • A set of mysterious price patterns that’ve been repeating – every year – in major stocks,commodity futures AND Forex pairs
    • Why Williams Companies (WMB) has been up 9% on average between March 23rd and April 27th – every year since 2006
    • Why Coca Cola (KO) has been up an average of 3% over the same mysterious 14 day window dating back to 2007
    • Why Deere & Company (DE) has been up 9% on average over its 35 day “growth window” for the last 14 years
    • The secret to identifying and trading these hidden patterns – with the convenience of a simply Google search

    Spots On These Webinar Events Are Strictly Limited

    With the quality of the information we’re giving out – there’s a good chance it will fill up. Please register now while there are still spots available. You’ll have three times and days to choose from….Pick from one of the following!

    Tuesday April 25th 2017 at 2:45 pm
    Wednesday April 26th 2017 at 3:00 pm
    Thursday April 27th 2017 at 3:00 pm

    Visit Here to Register Today!

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  • Commodity Brief – Laytime & Demurrage

    Series continues by looking at laytime and demurrage, Richard Watts, Managing Director, HR Maritime. You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#207033 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en su idioma: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvspanish Schauen Sie Dukascopy TV in Ihrer Sprache: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvgerman Regardez […]

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  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Gold, Silver, Copper, Sugar and More

    Trading for the week of April 17th through April 21st ended with the 3 major indexes closing lower. This is a tough market to call right now as the different markets are giving mixed signals on the general direction of the economy and each individual market.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    GOLD futures in the June contract are currently trading at 1,286 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 1,288 basically unchanged for the trading week as I am not involved in the gold market as prices remain right near contract highs due to tensions between North Korea and the United States coupled with the fact of a weaker U.S dollar in recent weeks. Gold prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher as we are ending the week on a positive note up about $4 as 1,300 is the main resistance and if that is broken I think we could go to levels before the U. S. election around 1,330 an ounce. At the current time I don’t have any precious metal recommendations as Silver is right near a 2 week low, but there is demand for gold as there is so much uncertainty in the world at this time and if you are bullish a futures position I would place the stop loss under the 10 day low standing at 1,248 which is still $40 away as the chart structure is not solid at the present time, as I do expect volatility to increase in the coming weeks as well.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Improving

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 18.58 an ounce while currently trading at 17.98 down about $0.60 for the trading week as I’ve been discussing the May contract, but that is near expiration so I will focus on the July contract going forward as I’m not involved in this market at present. Silver prices are trading lower for the 5th consecutive day and if you are long futures contracts I would still place the stop under the 10 day low standing at 17.80 which is just an eyelash way as this market remains very choppy in my opinion. Silver prices are trading under their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average really going nowhere over the last several months as I do not have any trade recommendations in the precious metals at the current time. The U.S dollar continues to flip flop up and down on a daily basis and that’s why you’re seeing the choppy commodity markets as gold prices have also stalled out around the 1,300 level as the precious metals had been rallying due to a possible conflict with North Korea & the United States which now seems to be diminishing on a daily basis.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Copper futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.5860 a Pound while currently trading at 2.5470 down about 400 points for the trading week right near a 3 month low. At present I’m not involved in this market, but I do think lower prices are ahead and if you are short place the stop at the 10 day high which in Monday’s trade stands at 2.66 as the chart structure will start to improve in next week’s trade, therefore, the monetary risk will be lowered as I’m still looking at a short position on any type of rally. Copper prices are trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as there is major support at the 2.50 level and if that is broken, I think we could head substantially lower as the commodity markets are having a hard time sustaining any real bullish momentum. Copper prices were trading around the 2.10 level just let last October but with the Trump administration’s possible stimulus plan sending copper prices to around the 2.80 level around quickly as now were kind of a no man’s land, but the trend is lower so stay short.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Improving

    sugar futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.57 a pound while currently trading at 16.38 down about 20 points for the trading week still stuck in a 2 week consolidation as prices are still right near a one year low. I’m not currently involved in sugar ,but if you are short as I do have clients who are involved in this marketplace your stop loss above the 10 day high at 17.13 as the next major level of support is the contract low which was hit on April 5th around 16.20 & if that is broken I think prices could head down to the low 15’s rather quickly. Sugar prices are still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average is telling you that the trend is to the downside as overproduction and lack of demand continue to keep a lid on prices as the soft Commodities still look weak except for cotton prices. At present, I only have one soft recommendation & that is a bearish trade in the orange juice market, but I am bearish sugar as I do think lower prices are ahead as the chart structure is excellent at present, therefore, allowing you to place a tight stop loss.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Corn, Lean Hog, Cattle, Cotton and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Gold, Silver, Copper, Sugar and More

    Trading for the week of April 17th through April 21st ended with the 3 major indexes closing lower. This is a tough market to call right now as the different markets are giving mixed signals on the general direction of the economy and each individual market.

    So as we like to say….no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    GOLD futures in the June contract are currently trading at 1,286 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 1,288 basically unchanged for the trading week as I am not involved in the gold market as prices remain right near contract highs due to tensions between North Korea and the United States coupled with the fact of a weaker U.S dollar in recent weeks. Gold prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher as we are ending the week on a positive note up about $4 as 1,300 is the main resistance and if that is broken I think we could go to levels before the U. S. election around 1,330 an ounce. At the current time I don’t have any precious metal recommendations as Silver is right near a 2 week low, but there is demand for gold as there is so much uncertainty in the world at this time and if you are bullish a futures position I would place the stop loss under the 10 day low standing at 1,248 which is still $40 away as the chart structure is not solid at the present time, as I do expect volatility to increase in the coming weeks as well.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Improving

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 18.58 an ounce while currently trading at 17.98 down about $0.60 for the trading week as I’ve been discussing the May contract, but that is near expiration so I will focus on the July contract going forward as I’m not involved in this market at present. Silver prices are trading lower for the 5th consecutive day and if you are long futures contracts I would still place the stop under the 10 day low standing at 17.80 which is just an eyelash way as this market remains very choppy in my opinion. Silver prices are trading under their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average really going nowhere over the last several months as I do not have any trade recommendations in the precious metals at the current time. The U.S dollar continues to flip flop up and down on a daily basis and that’s why you’re seeing the choppy commodity markets as gold prices have also stalled out around the 1,300 level as the precious metals had been rallying due to a possible conflict with North Korea & the United States which now seems to be diminishing on a daily basis.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Copper futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.5860 a Pound while currently trading at 2.5470 down about 400 points for the trading week right near a 3 month low. At present I’m not involved in this market, but I do think lower prices are ahead and if you are short place the stop at the 10 day high which in Monday’s trade stands at 2.66 as the chart structure will start to improve in next week’s trade, therefore, the monetary risk will be lowered as I’m still looking at a short position on any type of rally. Copper prices are trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as there is major support at the 2.50 level and if that is broken, I think we could head substantially lower as the commodity markets are having a hard time sustaining any real bullish momentum. Copper prices were trading around the 2.10 level just let last October but with the Trump administration’s possible stimulus plan sending copper prices to around the 2.80 level around quickly as now were kind of a no man’s land, but the trend is lower so stay short.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Improving

    sugar futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.57 a pound while currently trading at 16.38 down about 20 points for the trading week still stuck in a 2 week consolidation as prices are still right near a one year low. I’m not currently involved in sugar ,but if you are short as I do have clients who are involved in this marketplace your stop loss above the 10 day high at 17.13 as the next major level of support is the contract low which was hit on April 5th around 16.20 & if that is broken I think prices could head down to the low 15’s rather quickly. Sugar prices are still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average is telling you that the trend is to the downside as overproduction and lack of demand continue to keep a lid on prices as the soft Commodities still look weak except for cotton prices. At present, I only have one soft recommendation & that is a bearish trade in the orange juice market, but I am bearish sugar as I do think lower prices are ahead as the chart structure is excellent at present, therefore, allowing you to place a tight stop loss.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Corn, Lean Hog, Cattle, Cotton and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Commodity Brief – Panama Canal

    Series continues by looking at the Panama Canal, Richard Watts, Managing Director, HR Maritime. You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#207032 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en su idioma: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvspanish Schauen Sie Dukascopy TV in Ihrer Sprache: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvgerman Regardez […]

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  • Coal Prices Set To Fall

    Peak Coal Production, Consumption and Employment in the U.S. has come and gone. A return to those peak levels will not occur. Prakash Sharma, Wood Mackenzie. You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#210861 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en […]

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  • North Korea’s Pushing Gold Higher

    Will North Korea tensions see surrounding countries flock to the Safe Haven? Alasdair Macleod, GOLD Money You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#210733 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en su idioma: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvspanish Schauen Sie Dukascopy TV in Ihrer Sprache: […]

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  • Crude Oil Seasonality, Inventory Rebalancing and Production Cuts

    The historical stock build from December 2014 through July 2016, and subsequent decline from August through December has led some to conclude that global stocks had started to rebalance. Instead, the normal seasonality in stocks had been masked by the high overproduction of OPEC, but then normal seasonality kicked in.

    Global OECD inventories from past years demonstrate the normal seasonal patterns, with some variability. As shown in this graph, stocks normal build early in the year and peak around August. Stocks normally drop from September through December. But in 2015, the oversupply was so excessive that stock just kept building through the year. They finally peaked in July 2016, then dropped off due to normal seasonal demand. This normal pattern led to a false conclusion that the rebalancing of stocks had begun.
    But according to Energy Department data, OECD stocks in March 2017 are 13 million barrels higher than December. And it projects that stocks are likely to peak in May this year, earlier than normal, but to end 2017 with stocks just 14 million lower than a year ago. This is based on the Energy Information Administration ((EIA)) assumption that OPEC does not hold production to its March level. Furthermore, the EIA projects global stocks to set new record highs in 2018, after the OPEC non OPEC cuts presumably end.

    Effect of Production Cuts

    Some argue that the 285 million barrel excess above the 5 year average as of the end of December should disappear in five to six months by dividing 285 million by 1.8 million barrels per day, the agreed upon size of the daily cut. But that math first assumes that supply was in balance with demand, makes no allowance for rising supplies, such as in the U.S., and it does not take into account the seasonality.
    According to OPEC’s figures, global OECD stocks are likely to build both in the first and second quarters, and then decline in the second half of the year, assuming OPEC production remains at the March level.
    There was one development last week, if true, did shift the inventory trend lower. The EIA revised its December estimate of OECD stocks down 105 million barrels, a major revision. That reduced the size of the glut to 201 million above its five year average.

    Conclusions

    The market dropped sharply in early March as a result of the continued rise in stocks. The market has falsely expected to see inventories to soon decline as a result of the production cuts. But seasonal factors need to be taken into account. We should see global stocks decline in the second half of 2017, assuming OPEC extends its cuts. And the decline may start earlier than normal because U.S. refinery utilization is ramping up faster and earlier than usual, thereby requiring more Crude Oil.
    Best,
    Robert Boslego
    INO.com Contributor – Energies

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Crude Oil Seasonality, Inventory Rebalancing and Production Cuts

    The historical stock build from December 2014 through July 2016, and subsequent decline from August through December has led some to conclude that global stocks had started to rebalance. Instead, the normal seasonality in stocks had been masked by the high overproduction of OPEC, but then normal seasonality kicked in.

    Global OECD inventories from past years demonstrate the normal seasonal patterns, with some variability. As shown in this graph, stocks normal build early in the year and peak around August. Stocks normally drop from September through December. But in 2015, the oversupply was so excessive that stock just kept building through the year. They finally peaked in July 2016, then dropped off due to normal seasonal demand. This normal pattern led to a false conclusion that the rebalancing of stocks had begun.
    But according to Energy Department data, OECD stocks in March 2017 are 13 million barrels higher than December. And it projects that stocks are likely to peak in May this year, earlier than normal, but to end 2017 with stocks just 14 million lower than a year ago. This is based on the Energy Information Administration ((EIA)) assumption that OPEC does not hold production to its March level. Furthermore, the EIA projects global stocks to set new record highs in 2018, after the OPEC non OPEC cuts presumably end.

    Effect of Production Cuts

    Some argue that the 285 million barrel excess above the 5 year average as of the end of December should disappear in five to six months by dividing 285 million by 1.8 million barrels per day, the agreed upon size of the daily cut. But that math first assumes that supply was in balance with demand, makes no allowance for rising supplies, such as in the U.S., and it does not take into account the seasonality.
    According to OPEC’s figures, global OECD stocks are likely to build both in the first and second quarters, and then decline in the second half of the year, assuming OPEC production remains at the March level.
    There was one development last week, if true, did shift the inventory trend lower. The EIA revised its December estimate of OECD stocks down 105 million barrels, a major revision. That reduced the size of the glut to 201 million above its five year average.

    Conclusions

    The market dropped sharply in early March as a result of the continued rise in stocks. The market has falsely expected to see inventories to soon decline as a result of the production cuts. But seasonal factors need to be taken into account. We should see global stocks decline in the second half of 2017, assuming OPEC extends its cuts. And the decline may start earlier than normal because U.S. refinery utilization is ramping up faster and earlier than usual, thereby requiring more Crude Oil.
    Best,
    Robert Boslego
    INO.com Contributor – Energies

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Silver, Copper, Coffee, Sugar and More

    Trading for the week of April 10th through April 14th ended with the DOW leading indexes closing lower as markets volatility rears it’s ugly head due to fed spooked financials and weaker transports.

    So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Silver futures in the May contract are up 27 cents at 18.55 an ounce trading higher for the 3rd consecutive trading session breaking major resistance as I will be recommending a bullish position if prices close above 18.50 while then placing the stop loss under the 10-day low which was also Monday’s low around 17.73 risking around $800 per mini contract plus slippage and commission. The chart structure is relatively solid at present as the next major level of resistance is last November’s high around $19 an ounce as GOLD and silver prices have broken out to the upside. The 10 year note is significantly higher once again hitting a 6 month high as interest rates have been heading lower in recent weeks, and that is bullish the precious metals and Commodities in general as there seems to be what they call a flight to quality which affects the bond and precious metals market as investors park their money as a so called safe haven. Silver prices are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher so let’s look at playing this to the upside as the risk/reward are in your favor in my opinion.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Solid

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Copper futures in the May contract are higher by 250 points this Thursday in New York currently trading at 2.5700 a Pound after hitting a 3 month low in yesterday’s trade as I’m looking at a short position, however the chart structure is poor as the 10 day high stands around 2.71 as the risk/reward is not in your favor at present. However, I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish trade as the trend clearly is to the downside. I will wait for the chart structure to improve which could take a couple more days as prices are now trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend has turned negative in the short term with the next major level of support down to 2.50 which was tested back in December 2016 on multiple occasions only to rally every single time. This is a unique situation in the precious metals as bullish trends continue in gold and silver, however we have a bearish trend in copper and that can happen at certain times due to the fact that gold and silver are used as a flight to quality where copper is an industrial metal so keep a close eye on this market for a short position.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Coffee futures in the July contract are trading higher by 100 points at 141.25 in the July contract up in a slow manner with low volatility over the last several months as it looks to me that coffee prices are bottoming out in the short term. I have written about coffee many times in the past as I’m currently not involved in this market and haven’t been for several months as I think prices are limited to the downside as it looks to me that the 138 level has held as prices are now at a 3 week high. Coffee prices are now trading above their 20 day but still below their 100 day moving average which stands at 148 as that is the critical level for the bullish momentum to continue in my opinion so keep a close eye on this market to the upside. At present, I am recommending a short position in orange juice and in cotton and I am also bearish sugar. However, coffee prices are starting enter to enter the month of May with the chance of a frost occurring in Brazil, so there could be a price premium put into this market to the upside and if a frost does occur prices move substantially higher & extremely quickly like they did in 1994.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.77 a pound while currently trading at 16.83 in a lackluster holiday trading week as tomorrow is Good Friday as the markets will be closed. I have not been involved in the sugar market, but I have remained bearish over quite some time. I have clients that are short and if you are in this market to the downside place your stop loss above the 10 day high standing at 17.18 which is just an eyelash away as prices actually traded as high as 17.16 earlier in the trading session. Many of the commodity markets have reacted to the positive side over the last several days due to the fact that bond interest rates in the United States have been going lower and that is supporting prices, however if you’re short, continue to place the proper stop and don’t 2nd guess as I think that’s the kiss of death over the course of time. Sugar futures are still trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the trend is lower, but for this market to resume its bearish trend the 16 level has to be breached in my opinion.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Wheat, Lean Hogs, Cotton and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Silver, Copper, Coffee, Sugar and More

    Trading for the week of April 10th through April 14th ended with the DOW leading indexes closing lower as markets volatility rears it’s ugly head due to fed spooked financials and weaker transports.

    So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    Silver futures in the May contract are up 27 cents at 18.55 an ounce trading higher for the 3rd consecutive trading session breaking major resistance as I will be recommending a bullish position if prices close above 18.50 while then placing the stop loss under the 10-day low which was also Monday’s low around 17.73 risking around $800 per mini contract plus slippage and commission. The chart structure is relatively solid at present as the next major level of resistance is last November’s high around $19 an ounce as GOLD and silver prices have broken out to the upside. The 10 year note is significantly higher once again hitting a 6 month high as interest rates have been heading lower in recent weeks, and that is bullish the precious metals and Commodities in general as there seems to be what they call a flight to quality which affects the bond and precious metals market as investors park their money as a so called safe haven. Silver prices are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher so let’s look at playing this to the upside as the risk/reward are in your favor in my opinion.
    Trend: Higher
    Chart Structure: Solid

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Copper futures in the May contract are higher by 250 points this Thursday in New York currently trading at 2.5700 a Pound after hitting a 3 month low in yesterday’s trade as I’m looking at a short position, however the chart structure is poor as the 10 day high stands around 2.71 as the risk/reward is not in your favor at present. However, I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish trade as the trend clearly is to the downside. I will wait for the chart structure to improve which could take a couple more days as prices are now trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend has turned negative in the short term with the next major level of support down to 2.50 which was tested back in December 2016 on multiple occasions only to rally every single time. This is a unique situation in the precious metals as bullish trends continue in gold and silver, however we have a bearish trend in copper and that can happen at certain times due to the fact that gold and silver are used as a flight to quality where copper is an industrial metal so keep a close eye on this market for a short position.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Coffee futures in the July contract are trading higher by 100 points at 141.25 in the July contract up in a slow manner with low volatility over the last several months as it looks to me that coffee prices are bottoming out in the short term. I have written about coffee many times in the past as I’m currently not involved in this market and haven’t been for several months as I think prices are limited to the downside as it looks to me that the 138 level has held as prices are now at a 3 week high. Coffee prices are now trading above their 20 day but still below their 100 day moving average which stands at 148 as that is the critical level for the bullish momentum to continue in my opinion so keep a close eye on this market to the upside. At present, I am recommending a short position in orange juice and in cotton and I am also bearish sugar. However, coffee prices are starting enter to enter the month of May with the chance of a frost occurring in Brazil, so there could be a price premium put into this market to the upside and if a frost does occur prices move substantially higher & extremely quickly like they did in 1994.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    Sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.77 a pound while currently trading at 16.83 in a lackluster holiday trading week as tomorrow is Good Friday as the markets will be closed. I have not been involved in the sugar market, but I have remained bearish over quite some time. I have clients that are short and if you are in this market to the downside place your stop loss above the 10 day high standing at 17.18 which is just an eyelash away as prices actually traded as high as 17.16 earlier in the trading session. Many of the commodity markets have reacted to the positive side over the last several days due to the fact that bond interest rates in the United States have been going lower and that is supporting prices, however if you’re short, continue to place the proper stop and don’t 2nd guess as I think that’s the kiss of death over the course of time. Sugar futures are still trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the trend is lower, but for this market to resume its bearish trend the 16 level has to be breached in my opinion.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Excellent

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Wheat, Lean Hogs, Cotton and more….Just Click Here!

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  • Brexit Increases Threat To UK Steel

    The UK Government will take little action to protect UK Steel Producers. Alex Griffiths, Wood Mackenzie. You can view this video and the full video archive on the Dukascopy TV page: http://www.dukascopy.com/tv/en/#210427 Смотрите Dukascopy TV на вашем языке: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvrussian 用您的语言观看杜高斯贝电视: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvchinese Miren Dukascopy TV en su idioma: http://www.youtube.com/user/dukascopytvspanish Schauen Sie Dukascopy TV in Ihrer Sprache: […]

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  • Surviving and Thriving During an Economic Collapse

    By Nick Giambruno 

    In just over a century, the international monetary system has collapsed three times: in 1914, in 1939, and in 1971, when Nixon severed the dollar’s last ties to GOLD. We are due for another major breakdown soon.

    This time, the US dollar will lose its status as the world’s premier reserve currency. And the ramifications of that happening are hard to overstate. It will likely be the tipping point at which the US government becomes desperate enough to officially restrict the movement of people and their money… desperate enough to nationalize retirement savings… and desperate enough to make other forms of overt wealth confiscation routine.

    For decades, countries around the world have conducted most of their international trade in US dollars. If they want to play in the international sandbox, most have to buy US dollars on the currency market first. This creates a (frequently artificial) demand for dollars, which makes those dollars more valuable.

    Imagine the overall boost this arrangement gives to the dollar’s value. It’s enormous.

    This system allows the US government and US citizens to live way beyond their means. It also gives the US government immense geopolitical leverage. It can pick and choose which countries can participate in the US-dollar-based financial system—and, by extension, the vast majority of international trade.

    All of these unique benefits will disappear when the dollar loses its premier status. No one knows exactly when that will happen, but we’re quickly moving in that direction. Russia, China, Brazil, and India are all making serious moves to dump the dollar and trade in their own currencies. The momentum is quickly gaining critical mass.

    I believe it won’t be long before the US government will be desperate enough to enact the restrictive measures we all fear. It’s important to prepare for the economic and financial consequences now. However, you also need to prepare for the sociopolitical consequences of the next economic collapse. It’s probably not going to happen tomorrow, but the direction the bankrupt US government is headed is clear.

    Once the dollar loses its status as the world’s premier currency, your options for protecting your savings will have likely narrowed significantly, if not disappeared altogether. It’s important to act before that happens.

    P.S. New York Times best-selling author Doug Casey and I think that a crisis for the record books is coming soon. We think your savings are highly vulnerable. There’s a good chance you could be wiped out.

    That’s why we released an urgent new video on surviving and thriving during the next financial crisis. 

    Click here to watch it now.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Surviving and Thriving During an Economic Collapse

    By Nick Giambruno 

    In just over a century, the international monetary system has collapsed three times: in 1914, in 1939, and in 1971, when Nixon severed the dollar’s last ties to GOLD. We are due for another major breakdown soon.

    This time, the US dollar will lose its status as the world’s premier reserve currency. And the ramifications of that happening are hard to overstate. It will likely be the tipping point at which the US government becomes desperate enough to officially restrict the movement of people and their money… desperate enough to nationalize retirement savings… and desperate enough to make other forms of overt wealth confiscation routine.

    For decades, countries around the world have conducted most of their international trade in US dollars. If they want to play in the international sandbox, most have to buy US dollars on the currency market first. This creates a (frequently artificial) demand for dollars, which makes those dollars more valuable.

    Imagine the overall boost this arrangement gives to the dollar’s value. It’s enormous.

    This system allows the US government and US citizens to live way beyond their means. It also gives the US government immense geopolitical leverage. It can pick and choose which countries can participate in the US-dollar-based financial system—and, by extension, the vast majority of international trade.

    All of these unique benefits will disappear when the dollar loses its premier status. No one knows exactly when that will happen, but we’re quickly moving in that direction. Russia, China, Brazil, and India are all making serious moves to dump the dollar and trade in their own currencies. The momentum is quickly gaining critical mass.

    I believe it won’t be long before the US government will be desperate enough to enact the restrictive measures we all fear. It’s important to prepare for the economic and financial consequences now. However, you also need to prepare for the sociopolitical consequences of the next economic collapse. It’s probably not going to happen tomorrow, but the direction the bankrupt US government is headed is clear.

    Once the dollar loses its status as the world’s premier currency, your options for protecting your savings will have likely narrowed significantly, if not disappeared altogether. It’s important to act before that happens.

    P.S. New York Times best-selling author Doug Casey and I think that a crisis for the record books is coming soon. We think your savings are highly vulnerable. There’s a good chance you could be wiped out.

    That’s why we released an urgent new video on surviving and thriving during the next financial crisis. 

    Click here to watch it now.

    Stock & ETF Trading Signals

    Stock Trkr
  • Can You Spot the Pattern That Sent Facebook Soaring?

    In the final months of 2016 Facebook stock was all over the place. It traded up, down and sideways. Beneath the surface two primal market forces were at work, fighting to control the stock’s direction. On December 30th these forces collided. What happened next was shocking, Facebook popped 8.32% by January 10th.

    Facebook call options were up 235.06% in just 11 days. A $1,000 investment would have paid you $2,350 in less than two weeks. And the crazy thing? These events happen all the time, you just need to know where to find them.

    Get The Facts Here

    Very few traders know about this phenomenon. Even fewer can spot it at work in a stock before an explosive 196%, 228% or 339% move happens. Now you can find out how it works BEFORE the next event strikes.

    Watch Right Now

    Ray @ the Crude Oil Trader

    Stock Trkr
  • Can You Spot the Pattern That Sent Facebook Soaring?

    In the final months of 2016 Facebook stock was all over the place. It traded up, down and sideways. Beneath the surface two primal market forces were at work, fighting to control the stock’s direction. On December 30th these forces collided. What happened next was shocking, Facebook popped 8.32% by January 10th.

    Facebook call options were up 235.06% in just 11 days. A $1,000 investment would have paid you $2,350 in less than two weeks. And the crazy thing? These events happen all the time, you just need to know where to find them.

    Get The Facts Here

    Very few traders know about this phenomenon. Even fewer can spot it at work in a stock before an explosive 196%, 228% or 339% move happens. Now you can find out how it works BEFORE the next event strikes.

    Watch Right Now

    Ray @ the Crude Oil Trader

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Gold, Coffee, Sugar, Copper and More

    Trading for the week of March 27th through March 31st ended with the SP500 and DOW indexes closing slightly lower as markets consolidated this week’s rally. This leaves markets neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term and the same goes for the NASDAQ 100.

    So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    GOLD futures in the June contract settled last Friday at 1,251 an ounce while currently trading at 1,247 in a very nonvolatile trading week right near major resistance as prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the short term trend is higher. At present, I am not, involved in the precious metals as the U.S dollar continues to flip flop which had made the commodity markets basically go sideways over the last several months. For the gold rally to continue in my opinion prices, have to break major resistance around 1,268 which is still about $20 away as the U.S stock market continues to hover near all time highs which generally is a negative towards gold prices. Gold prices bottomed out last month around the 1,200 level as that’s when the Federal Reserve stated that they might slow down on raising interest rates sending prices back up towards the upper end of the trading range, however prices still remain choppy over the last several months so wait for a true trend to develop as there are very few markets that have strong trends at the current time.
    Trend: Mixed – Higher
    Chart Structure: Improving

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Coffee futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 137.60 a Pound while currently trading at 138.50 in a very nonvolatile trading week as I am not involved in coffee at present as I’m waiting for a breakout to occur as the chart structure has improved tremendously due to the fact that prices continue to go nowhere. Coffee prices continue to trade under their 20 day moving average as the 100 day stands at 147 as I’m very surprised at how low the volatility is as historically speaking coffee is one of the most explosive Commodities in the world with huge price swings and huge risk as I don’t see this continuing for much longer. Ideal weather conditions in the country of Brazil continue to keep a lid on prices as Brazil is the largest producer in the world and also the largest producer of many commodities in the world as we are starting to enter the frost season which is about 5 weeks away & certainly will send volatility back into this market, but at the present time look at other markets. In my opinion, I do believe prices are limited to the downside as eventually I do think higher prices are ahead, but there is very little fundamental news to push prices in either direction.
    Trend: Mixed – Lower
    Chart Structure: Improving

    sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 17.71 a pound while currently trading at 16.78 down nearly 100 points for the trading week continuing its bearish momentum as I am not involved in this commodity at present, but do have clients who are short a futures position and if that is the case place your stop above the 10 day high which now stands at 18.17. Sugar prices are trading well below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as prices are retesting the May 2016 lows and I do think there’s a possibility that we could even go as low as 12.50 which was hit in February 2016 as this market remains bearish in my opinion so stay short. The chart structure will not improve for another week so you’re going to have to accept the monetary risk as overproduction and lack of demand continue to put pressure on sugar prices here in the short term as I still do believe lower prices are ahead, however, if you have missed the trade like I did move on and look at other markets that are beginning to trend as the risk/reward is not in your favor.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Copper futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.63 a pound while currently trading at 2.65 as I was recommending a bearish position from around 2.61 getting stopped out in Thursday’s trade around the 2.70 level taking the loss and moving on as this market remains choppy. Copper prices are trading right at their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as prices hit a 3 week high following the stock market which is hovering right near at all time highs as the NASDAQ 100 did hit all time highs as I was also stopped out of that trade as I have no precious metal recommendations at the current time. The chart structure in copper is relatively solid as we could be involved once again in the next couple of weeks so keep a close eye on this market as it still looks expensive.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Solid

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Cocoa, Lean Hogs, Corn and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
  • Mike Seery’s Weekly Futures Recap – Gold, Coffee, Sugar, Copper and More

    Trading for the week of March 27th through March 31st ended with the SP500 and DOW indexes closing slightly lower as markets consolidated this week’s rally. This leaves markets neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term and the same goes for the NASDAQ 100.

    So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We’ve asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

    GOLD futures in the June contract settled last Friday at 1,251 an ounce while currently trading at 1,247 in a very nonvolatile trading week right near major resistance as prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the short term trend is higher. At present, I am not, involved in the precious metals as the U.S dollar continues to flip flop which had made the commodity markets basically go sideways over the last several months. For the gold rally to continue in my opinion prices, have to break major resistance around 1,268 which is still about $20 away as the U.S stock market continues to hover near all time highs which generally is a negative towards gold prices. Gold prices bottomed out last month around the 1,200 level as that’s when the Federal Reserve stated that they might slow down on raising interest rates sending prices back up towards the upper end of the trading range, however prices still remain choppy over the last several months so wait for a true trend to develop as there are very few markets that have strong trends at the current time.
    Trend: Mixed – Higher
    Chart Structure: Improving

    Get Chris Vermeulen’s Short & Long Term Gold Projections

    Coffee futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 137.60 a Pound while currently trading at 138.50 in a very nonvolatile trading week as I am not involved in coffee at present as I’m waiting for a breakout to occur as the chart structure has improved tremendously due to the fact that prices continue to go nowhere. Coffee prices continue to trade under their 20 day moving average as the 100 day stands at 147 as I’m very surprised at how low the volatility is as historically speaking coffee is one of the most explosive Commodities in the world with huge price swings and huge risk as I don’t see this continuing for much longer. Ideal weather conditions in the country of Brazil continue to keep a lid on prices as Brazil is the largest producer in the world and also the largest producer of many commodities in the world as we are starting to enter the frost season which is about 5 weeks away & certainly will send volatility back into this market, but at the present time look at other markets. In my opinion, I do believe prices are limited to the downside as eventually I do think higher prices are ahead, but there is very little fundamental news to push prices in either direction.
    Trend: Mixed – Lower
    Chart Structure: Improving

    sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 17.71 a pound while currently trading at 16.78 down nearly 100 points for the trading week continuing its bearish momentum as I am not involved in this commodity at present, but do have clients who are short a futures position and if that is the case place your stop above the 10 day high which now stands at 18.17. Sugar prices are trading well below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as prices are retesting the May 2016 lows and I do think there’s a possibility that we could even go as low as 12.50 which was hit in February 2016 as this market remains bearish in my opinion so stay short. The chart structure will not improve for another week so you’re going to have to accept the monetary risk as overproduction and lack of demand continue to put pressure on sugar prices here in the short term as I still do believe lower prices are ahead, however, if you have missed the trade like I did move on and look at other markets that are beginning to trend as the risk/reward is not in your favor.
    Trend: Lower
    Chart Structure: Poor

    Copper futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.63 a pound while currently trading at 2.65 as I was recommending a bearish position from around 2.61 getting stopped out in Thursday’s trade around the 2.70 level taking the loss and moving on as this market remains choppy. Copper prices are trading right at their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as prices hit a 3 week high following the stock market which is hovering right near at all time highs as the NASDAQ 100 did hit all time highs as I was also stopped out of that trade as I have no precious metal recommendations at the current time. The chart structure in copper is relatively solid as we could be involved once again in the next couple of weeks so keep a close eye on this market as it still looks expensive.
    Trend: Mixed
    Chart Structure: Solid

    For more calls on this week’s commodity trades like Soybean, Cocoa, Lean Hogs, Corn and more….Just Click Here!

    Stock Trkr
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