September 8, 2014 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 08/09-12/09

EUR/USD

Last week the EUR/USD pair rapidly decrease and dip to new 1-year lows. The pair declined as low as 1.2920 due to surprising act from European Central Bank. As we wrote previously most of the analyst expected Mario Draghi to increase monetary stimulus to prevent from low inflation and spur the economic growth, however nobody expected the ECB to cut the already very low interest rates. The pair then ranged low before the U.S labor data which came out worse-than-expected but the price remained below 1.3000. This week will be more quiet on the economic data. On Thursday we should pay attention to the ECB Monthly Bulletin and on Friday to the U.S. Retail Sales data.

GBP/USD

Last week the GBP/USD erased more than 300 pips when decreased from 1.6630 to 1.6280. The British pound was influenced by the European Central bank decision but more the pound was influenced by fears over upcoming referendum. On September 18th we will see if Scotland will get its independency or not. First time in modern history, it seems very likely that they might split from U.K. which. On the back of these speculations, the GBP/USD will drop more. Now the pair is traded 1.6180. This week we will have some important releases (e.g. U.K Manufacturing Production on Tuesday and Inflation hearing on Wednesday) but the pair will be under pressure even if the data comes above expectation.

GOLD

The price of gold started last week on $1,287.5/ounce and fell by Thursday to 1,257/ounce. The yellow metal lost the safe-haven demand as Russia and Ukraine agreed on ceasefire. Together with better outlook of U.S. economy the price immediately declined. However, on Friday the price slightly recovered after the U.S. Non-farm payrolls showed very disappointing number. This week we should keep an eye on the geopolitical tension and in the end of the week we should pay attention to the U.S. Retail Sales data.

 

Economics events (GMT time):

7/9/2014

All Day

CNY

Bank Holiday

1:30am

AUD

ANZ Job Advertisements m/m

2:01am

CNY

Trade Balance

6:00am

EUR

German Trade Balance

7:00am

GBP

Halifax HPI m/m

7:15am

CHF

CPI m/m

7:15am

CHF

Retail Sales y/y

12:30pm

CAD

Building Permits m/m

12:45pm

USD

Treasury Sec Lew Speaks

11:50pm

JPY

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

11:50pm

JPY

Tertiary Industry Activity m/m

11:50pm

JPY

M2 Money Stock y/y

8/9/2014

1:30am

AUD

NAB Business Confidence

1:30am

AUD

Home Loans m/m

8:30am

GBP

BOE Gov Carney Speaks

8:30am

GBP

Manufacturing Production m/m

12:15pm

CAD

Housing Starts

2:00pm

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

2:00pm

USD

JOLTS Job Openings

2:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks

11:50pm

JPY

Core Machinery Orders m/m

9/9/2014

12:30am

AUD

Westpac Consumer Sentiment

5:30am

EUR

French Final Non-Farm Payrolls q/q

6:45am

EUR

French Industrial Production m/m

12:30pm

CAD

Capacity Utilization Rate

1:45pm

GBP

Inflation Report Hearings

2:00pm

USD

Wholesale Inventories m/m

2:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

9:00pm

NZD

Official Cash Rate

9:00pm

NZD

RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

9:00pm

NZD

RBNZ Press Conference

9:00pm

NZD

RBNZ Rate Statement

11:01pm

GBP

RICS House Price Balance

11:50pm

JPY

BSI Manufacturing Index

11/9/2014

1:00am

AUD

MI Inflation Expectations

1:30am

AUD

Employment Change

1:30am

AUD

Unemployment Rate

1:30am

CNY

CPI y/y

1:30am

CNY

PPI y/y

6:00am

EUR

German Final CPI m/m

6:45am

EUR

French CPI m/m

8:00am

EUR

ECB Monthly Bulletin

12:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

2:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

6:00pm

USD

Federal Budget Balance

10:30pm

NZD

Business NZ Manufacturing Index

12/9/2014

4:30am

JPY

Revised Industrial Production m/m

6:05am

JPY

BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

8:00am

EUR

Italian Industrial Production m/m

8:30am

GBP

Construction Output m/m

9:00am

EUR

Industrial Production m/m

9:00am

EUR

Employment Change q/q

9:00am

GBP

CB Leading Index m/m

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

12:30pm

USD

Core Retail Sales m/m

12:30pm

USD

Retail Sales m/m

12:30pm

USD

Import Prices m/m

1:55pm

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

1:55pm

USD

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

2:00pm

USD

Business Inventories m/m

13/09/2014

5:30am

CNY

Industrial Production y/y

5:30am

CNY

Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y

5:30am

CNY

Retail Sales y/y
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