September 15, 2014 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 15/09-19/09

EUR/USD

Last week the EUR/USD pair has continued the sideways movement. The pair ranged between 1.2855 and 1.2980 despite the positive U.S. Retail Sales data. Analysts also watched how the market would react on the new sanction from EU against Russia. Fears that Russia will ban airspace and stop export gas to Europe can send the Euro rapidly down. This week, the main event will be the FOMC statement which will be released on Wednesday at 18.00 GMT. In the actual report, we suppose to see some more information about the possible interest rate hike which is now expected to be sometimes in mid of 2015. On Tuesday, we should also pay attention to the German ZEW Economic Sentiment which is expected to come out 5.2 – the lowest since November 2012. Due to the fact that the monetary stimulus might positively influence the economy, the result can exceed the expectations.

GBP/USD

Last week the GBP/USD pair touched new 10-month-low when fell to 1.6050. The pair was driven by very strong dollar and by surveys about Scottish Independence vote. The vote, which will take place on Thursday, will be the biggest event for the Pound with great impact. In case of splitting the United Kingdom to two, we might see the pair deep below 1.6000. Contrarily, once the fears over the Scottish independence finish with No answer, the pair may experience steep increase. Before the vote, we should pay attention to U.K. CPI data release (on Tuesday), U.K. Claimant Count Change and FOMC statement (on Wednesday).

GOLD

The price of gold dropped to recent 1,225/ounce where bounced. The yellow metal fell to 8-month low before the FOMC statement release which is scheduled to come out on Wednesday. It is widely expected that Fed will withdraw another $10billion /month from the quantitative easing program and therefore the price of safe-haven asset has suffered the drop. We should pay attention to the stock market as well which may increase significantly on the IPO of the year – Alibaba will be listed on NYSE on Thursday.

 Economics events (GMT time):

15/09/2014

All Day

JPY

Bank Holiday

1:30am

AUD

New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m

 7:15am

CHF

PPI m/m

12:30pm

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

1:15pm

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

1:15pm

USD

Industrial Production m/m

16/09/2014

12:00am

AUD

RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks

1:30am

AUD

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

5:30am

JPY

BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

8:30am

GBP

CPI y/y

9:00am

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

9:00am

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

12:30pm

CAD

Manufacturing Sales m/m

12:30pm

USD

PPI m/m

12:30pm

USD

Core PPI m/m

1:00pm

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

4:45pm

CAD

BOC Gov Poloz Speaks

10:45pm

NZD

Current Account

17/09/2014

8:30am

GBP

Average Earnings Index 3m/y

8:30am

GBP

Claimant Count Change

8:30am

GBP

MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes

8:30am

GBP

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

8:30am

GBP

Unemployment Rate

9:00am

EUR

Final CPI y/y

12:30pm

USD

Core CPI m/m

12:30pm

USD

CPI m/m

12:30pm

USD

Current Account

2:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

6:00pm

USD

FOMC Economic Projections

6:00pm

USD

FOMC Statement

6:00pm

USD

Federal Funds Rate

6:30pm

USD

FOMC Press Conference

10:45pm

NZD

GDP q/q

11:50pm

JPY

Trade Balance

18/09/2014

6:00am

CHF

Trade Balance

6:35am

JPY

BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

7:30am

CHF

Libor Rate

7:30am

CHF

SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

8:30am

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

10:00am

GBP

CBI Industrial Order Expectations

12:30pm

CAD

Foreign Securities Purchases

12:30pm

USD

Building Permits

12:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

12:30pm

USD

Housing Starts

12:45pm

USD

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks

2:00pm

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

All Day

GBP

Scottish Independence Vote

19/09/2014

12:30pm

CAD

Core CPI m/m

12:30pm

CAD

Wholesale Sales m/m

12:30pm

CAD

CPI m/m

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