March 2, 2015 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 2/3-6/3

EUR/USD

At the beginning of last week the EUR/USD traded sideways in a wide channel between 1.1300 and 1.1400.On Thursday, the pair dropped 200 pips and fell from 1.1380 to 1.1180 as U.S. FOMC member, Lockhart, supported the interest rate increase in June. In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, he said “I continue to believe that all meetings from June onward should be on the table”. His hawkish comments sent the U.S. Dollar up more than 1% against all of its major peers. The pair slightly corrected on Friday as German CPI data showed weakening deflation, however, better than expected U.S. GDP data pushed the EUR/USD back to 1.1180.

This week, the pair is expected to remain under pressure as the ECB is about to launch quantitative easing. The main events will be Thursday’s ECB Minimum bid rate followed by a Press Conference and Friday’s U.S. Non-farm payroll data.

 

GBP/USD

Last week the GBP/USD traded with bullish sentiment and reached a fresh 8 week high. The sentiment was supported by Mark Carney’s Inflation hearing report as he stated that inflation should return to 2% in “reasonable” time. The pair reached its strong resistance level at 1.5550 where it then bounced back down. The pair then reacted to Lockhart’s hawkish statements and within a few hours, dropped more than 100pips settling around 1.5400.

This week there will be several important events. The most important will be the U.K. Official Bank rate which will be released on Thursday and the U.S. Non-farm payrolls data which comes out on the first Friday of the month.

 

 GOLD

Last week Gold surprisingly increased and climbed above $1,220/ounce. Gains were seen despite the stronger dollar and hawkish statements from FOMC member Lockhart. The metal was spurred by a recent pick up in physical demand which came from China. Over the weekend, the Chinese central bank cut their interest rates by 25 basis points causing physical demand to remain firm. Traders should be careful, however, when placing buying positions as speculation could begin ahead of Friday’s Non-farm payrolls report. If the data is strong, the price could return back down.

 

Economics events (GMT time):

2/3/2015

12:00am

AUD

HIA New Home Sales m/m

12:30am

AUD

Company Operating Profits q/q

1:35am

JPY

Final Manufacturing PMI

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI

5:30am

AUD

Commodity Prices y/y

 7:00am

GBP

Nationwide HPI m/m

8:15am

EUR

Spanish Manufacturing PMI

8:30am

CHF

Manufacturing PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Manufacturing PMI

9:30am

GBP

Manufacturing PMI

9:30am

GBP

Mortgage Approvals

10:00am

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

10:00am

EUR

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

10:00am

EUR

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

CAD

Current Account

1:30pm

USD

Personal Spending m/m

1:30pm

USD

Personal Income m/m

2:45pm

USD

Final Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

Construction Spending m/m

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing Prices

11:50pm

JPY

Monetary Base y/y

3/3/2015

12:00am

NZD

ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

12:30am

AUD

Building Approvals m/m

12:30am

AUD

Current Account

1:30am

JPY

Average Cash Earnings y/y

3:30am

AUD

Cash Rate

3:30am

AUD

RBA Rate Statement

6:45am

CHF

GDP q/q

7:00am

EUR

German Retail Sales m/m

9:30am

GBP

Construction PMI

10:00am

EUR

PPI m/m

10:00am

GBP

BOE Gov Carney Speaks

1:30pm

CAD

GDP m/m

3:00pm

USD

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

10:30pm

AUD

AIG Services Index

4/3/2015

12:30am

AUD

GDP q/q

1:15am

USD

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Services PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

Services PMI

10:00am

EUR

Retail Sales m/m

1:15pm

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

2:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Evans Speaks

2:45pm

USD

Final Services PMI

3:00pm

CAD

BOC Rate Statement

3:00pm

CAD

Overnight Rate

3:00pm

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

3:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

7:00pm

USD

Beige Book

5/3/2015

12:30am

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

12:30am

AUD

Trade Balance

1:30am

AUD

RBA Deputy Gov Lowe Speaks

7:00am

EUR

German Factory Orders m/m

9:10am

EUR

Retail PMI

12:00pm

GBP

Official Bank Rate

12:00pm

GBP

Asset Purchase Facility

Tentative

GBP

MPC Rate Statement

12:30pm

USD

Challenger Job Cuts y/y

12:45pm

EUR

Minimum Bid Rate

1:30pm

EUR

ECB Press Conference

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

1:30pm

USD

Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

1:30pm

USD

Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q

3:00pm

CAD

Ivey PMI

3:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Williams Speaks

3:00pm

USD

Factory Orders m/m

3:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

6/3/2015

7:00am

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

8:00am

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

8:15am

CHF

CPI m/m

9:30am

GBP

Consumer Inflation Expectations

10:00am

EUR

Revised GDP q/q

1:30pm

CAD

Building Permits m/m

1:30pm

CAD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

CAD

Labor Productivity q/q

1:30pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

1:30pm

USD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

8:00pm

USD

Consumer Credit m/m

 

 

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