March 03, 2014 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 03/03-07/03

EUR/USD

Last week the EUR/USD pair first slightly decrease on Wednesday and went down to 1.3650. The movement down was driven mainly due to better-than-expected U.S. New Home Sales and optimism before Thursday’s Janet Yellen testimony. However, on Thursday the testimony did not bring any news or hawkish statements so the pair moved back up above 1.3720. On Friday we saw significant jump of more than 100 pips once the EU CPI data came out. These data are closely watched due to the fact that European Central Bank may act if needed. As we saw slightly positive inflation data the concerns about possible increase of monetary stimulus disappear and the pair climbed to 1.3820. This week will be really busy on important events.  The biggest ones are ECB Official Interest rate release on Thursday and U.S. Non-farm payrolls on Friday.

USD/JPY

Last week the USD/JPY pair moved sideways till Thursday. As the political situation in Ukraine has been escalating the pair is sliding down. Yen as a safe haven asset benefits from this crisis and pushing the pair down to 101.30 area from last week’s 102.50. This week we should closely watched (except of the situation in Ukraine) the Japanese Average Cash Earnings on Tuesday. Due to the fact that on Friday will be released the U.S. Non-farm payrolls data we should pay attention also to the pre-data. On Monday the ISM Manufacturing PMI, on Wednesday the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD the pair strengthened by 0.78% last week from 1.6620 to 1.6750. The pair was mainly driven by U.S. Dollar as the U.K. market did not release any important or surprising economic data (the U.K. GDP came out as expected). Due to the fact that U.S. Dollar weakened after quite dovish testimony of Janet Yellen and after disappointing U.S. GDP, the pair climbed all the way to 1.6765 where reversed. This week we should pay attention to the U.K. Manufacturing PMI (on Monday), the U.K. Construction PMI (on Tuesday) and the U.K. Services PMI (on Wednesday). On Thursday the U.K. Official Rate statement will be released and should cause higher volatility as well. Finally on Friday we should pay attention to U.S. Non-farm data.

GOLD

The price of Gold climbed last week from $1,319/ounce to $1,344/ounce due to tension in Ukraine and speculation over future Fed tapering. On Wednesday when the U.S. data came out slightly better-than-expected and situation in Ukraine seemed to calm down the price dropped back to 1,319/ounce. During the weekend the world is watching Russian steps in Ukraine and as the political situation is again on the edge the price jumping up to $1,347/ounce and might climb more. This week the price will fluctuate accordingly to that tension. The price of gold should be also affected by the main events of this week: the European Central Bank meeting and the interest rate decision on Thursday and the Non-Farm payrolls on Friday.

Economics events (GMT time):

3/3/2014

12:30am

AUD

ANZ Job Advertisements m/m

12:30am

AUD

Company Operating Profits q/q

1:00am

CNY

Non-Manufacturing PMI

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Manufacturing PMI

9:30am

GBP

Manufacturing PMI

1:30pm

CAD

RMPI m/m

1:30pm

USD

Personal Spending m/m

2:00pm

EUR

ECB President Draghi Speaks

2:00pm

USD

Final Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

Construction Spending m/m

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing Prices

11:50pm

JPY

Monetary Base y/y

4/3/2014

12:30am

AUD

Building Approvals m/m

12:30am

AUD

Current Account

1:30am

JPY

Average Cash Earnings y/y

3:30am

AUD

Cash Rate

3:30am

AUD

RBA Rate Statement

9:30am

GBP

Construction PMI

10:00am

EUR

PPI m/m

10:30am

GBP

MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks

5/3/2014

12:30am

AUD

GDP q/q

9:00am

EUR

Final Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

Services PMI

10:00am

EUR

Retail Sales m/m

10:00am

EUR

Revised GDP q/q

1:15pm

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

2:00pm

USD

Final Services PMI

3:00pm

CAD

BOC Rate Statement

3:00pm

CAD

Overnight Rate

3:00pm

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

3:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

7:00pm

USD

Beige Book

6/3/2014

12:00am

USD

FOMC Member Fisher Speaks

12:30am

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

12:30am

AUD

Trade Balance

1:15am

CAD

Gov Council Member Macklem Speaks

9:10am

EUR

Retail PMI

11:00am

EUR

German Factory Orders m/m

12:00pm

GBP

Asset Purchase Facility

12:00pm

GBP

Official Bank Rate

Tentative

GBP

MPC Rate Statement

12:45pm

EUR

Minimum Bid Rate

1:15pm

USD

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks

1:30pm

CAD

Building Permits m/m

1:30pm

EUR

ECB Press Conference

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

1:30pm

USD

Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

1:30pm

USD

Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q

3:00pm

CAD

Ivey PMI

3:00pm

USD

Factory Orders m/m

3:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

4:30pm

CAD

Gov Council Member Murray Speaks

6:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Plosser Speaks

10:30pm

AUD

RBA Gov Stevens Speaks

10:30pm

AUD

AIG Construction Index

7/3/2014

6:45am

CHF

Unemployment Rate

8:15am

CHF

CPI m/m

9:30am

GBP

Consumer Inflation Expectations

11:00am

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

1:30pm

CAD

Employment Change

1:30pm

CAD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

CAD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

CAD

Labor Productivity q/q

1:30pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

1:30pm

USD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

5:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks

8:00pm

USD

Consumer Credit m/m

Trade Forex, Commodities, Stocks and more, trade CFDs on the Plus 500 CFD trading platform! *CFD Service. 80.6% lose money - Register a real money account here and get trading right away.