January 5, 2015 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 5/1-9/1

EUR/USD

 

Last week the EUR/USD traded with bearish sentiment and by the end of the week the pair had fallen from 1.2220 to 1.2000. The drop was seen despite the fact that the market was closed for New Year’s Day. The Euro has been struggling due to the situation in Greece as elections have been set for January 25. Investors are worried that the Syriza party could take power and if so, Germany could push Greece to withdraw from the Euro-zone. Fears are still lingering and this morning the pair dropped to a new 8 year low of 1.875.  In addition to this, the European Central Bank may introduce new quantitative easing to spur the economy and this could weaken the single currency further.

 

This week pay attention to the German CPI data which will be posted on Monday. On Wednesday, keep an eye on the European CPI and U.S. ADP Non-farm employment change. The most anticipated event of the week will be Friday’s U.S. Non-farm payrolls report which should create great opportunities for binary option traders.

 

 

GBP/USD

 

For most of last week, the GBP/USD ranged between 1.5500 and 1.5620. However, on Friday the pair sharply dropped towards 1.5300 as U.K. Manufacturing PMI data came out at a 3-month low. The data removed speculation that the U.K. economic recovery is strong causing rumors of an earlier interest rate hike to fade. The pair fell even further this morning as the European single currency plummeted down to 1.5180, before correcting back to 1.5270.

 

The outlook for the pair remains bearish and the upcoming U.K. Construction PMI data is expected to show its lowest figure since October 2013. On Tuesday, U.K. Services PMI data will be announced and on Thursday, the U.K. official bank rate and monetary rate statement will be released. On Friday, U.S. labor data should bring high volatility.

 

 

GOLD

 

In comparison to other assets, Gold traded with high volatility last week. The price dropped from Tuesday’s high of $1,210/ounce to Friday’s low of $1,167/ounce. Today, the price is climbing back towards $1,200/ounce.

 

This week, the price could climb if the Greek crisis escalates further. Traders should also keep an eye on oil as it has almost dropped to a new 6 year low. Gold as a safe-haven asset may increase above $1,210/ounce. However, at the end of the week, strong U.S. data may cut profits.

 

Economics events (GMT time):

5/1/2015

1:35am

JPY

Final Manufacturing PMI

All Day

EUR

German Prelim CPI m/m

 8:00am

EUR

Spanish Unemployment Change

8:30am

CHF

SVME PMI

9:30am

EUR

Sentix Investor Confidence

9:30am

GBP

Construction PMI

All Day

USD

Total Vehicle Sales

11:50pm

JPY

Monetary Base y/y

6/1/2015

12:30am

AUD

Trade Balance

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Services PMI

3:45am

JPY

10-y Bond Auction

8:15am

EUR

Spanish Services PMI

8:45am

EUR

Italian Services PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

BOE Credit Conditions Survey

2:45pm

USD

Final Services PMI

3:00pm

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

Factory Orders m/m

10:30pm

AUD

AIG Services Index

7/1/2015

12:00am

NZD

ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

12:01am

GBP

BRC Shop Price Index y/y

7:00am

EUR

German Retail Sales m/m

8:00am

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

8:55am

EUR

German Unemployment Change

10:00am

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

10:00am

EUR

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

10:00am

EUR

Unemployment Rate

10:00am

EUR

Italian Prelim CPI m/m

1:15pm

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

1:30pm

CAD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

USD

Trade Balance

3:00pm

CAD

Ivey PMI

3:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

7:00pm

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

11:30pm

USD

FOMC Member Evans Speaks

8/1/2015

12:30am

AUD

Building Approvals m/m

7:00am

EUR

German Factory Orders m/m

10:00am

EUR

Retail Sales m/m

10:00am

EUR

PPI m/m

12:00pm

GBP

Official Bank Rate

12:00pm

GBP

Asset Purchase Facility

12:30pm

USD

Challenger Job Cuts y/y

1:30pm

CAD

NHPI m/m

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

3:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

8:00pm

USD

Consumer Credit m/m

9:45pm

NZD

Building Consents m/m

10:30pm

AUD

AIG Construction Index

9/1/2015

12:30am

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

1:30am

CNY

CPI y/y

1:30am

CNY

PPI y/y

5:00am

JPY

Leading Indicators

6:45am

CHF

Unemployment Rate

7:00am

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

7:00am

EUR

German Trade Balance

8:15am

CHF

CPI m/m

9:30am

GBP

Manufacturing Production m/m

9:30am

GBP

Trade Balance

9:30am

GBP

Construction Output m/m

9:30am

GBP

Industrial Production m/m

1:15pm

CAD

Housing Starts

1:30pm

CAD

Building Permits m/m

1:30pm

CAD

Employment Change

1:30pm

CAD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

3:00pm

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

3:00pm

USD

Wholesale Inventories m/m

 

 

 

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