Binary Options Weekly Outlook: January 27 – January 31
January 27, 2014 10:14 pmVideo
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January 27, 2014 – Weekly News
WEEKLY REPORT 27/01-31/01
EUR/USD
Last week the EUR/USD pair had been moving sideways for first 3 days but on Thursday with strong European data and weak American data the pair jumped from 1.3540 level to almost 1.3700 level. The pair tried to climb more on Friday but lost momentum and currently is ranging around 1.3680. This week should be better for trading because of many important economic events. On Monday the traders should pay attention to German Ifo Business Climate which is expected to show growing pattern. On Tuesday the U.S. Core Durable Goods and CB Consumer Confidence will be released. On Wednesday all the analysts and traders will watch the FOMC statement where we expect another tapering of monetary stimulus. On Thursday the major event will be release of U.S. Advance GDP which is predicted to show 3.2% growth.
USD/JPY
Two weeks ago the USD/JPY pair touched last week its lowest price in 4 weeks and rebounded on 102.90 support back up to 104.80. Last week we saw similar situation when the pair strongly slid from 104.80 to 103.00 and then went down even lower to 101.80. The pair reacted on weaker U.S. data and soft performance of U.S. stocks market. The pair already reversed its bearish movement and may pick up this week if the U.S. economic data supports Dollar as well as if FOMC continues to reduce its quantitative easing program. Except of that we should pay attention to Japanese Retail Sales data which will be released on Wednesday. Also on Thursday will be announced very important data when the Japanese CPI will come out.
GBP/USD
Last week the GBP/USD continued its sharp movement up spurred with good U.K. economic data. The pair rose all the way to 1.6650 which is the highest price since May 2011 when the price peaked to 1.6750. However, on Friday the pair reacted negatively on the Mark Carney’s speech where he said that BoE will wait for long term recovery before policy tightens. The price is currently ranging around 1.6500. Except of the U.S. data we should watch this week the U.K. GDP which will be released on Tuesday. The forecast is to see 0.8% growth that means the same figure as last time in October. Any stronger result will pull the pair up.
GOLD
Last week the price of Gold first declined to $1,232/ounce but with weaker U.S. Dollar and softer stock market data the price increased to $1,278/ounce. That’s the highest price since November. The bullish sentiment has already changed to slightly bearish and the price decreased to $1,268/ounce. This week the major event for gold is the Wednesday FOMC statement. Last time (in December) when FOMC started tapering of the $85 billion/month stimulus by $10 billion/moth, the price of Gold dropped to $1,187/ounce within one day. Therefore we should be careful with any buying position and wait for the statement to come.
Economics events (GMT time):
26/01/2014
All Day
AUD
Bank Holiday
11:50pm
JPY
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
11:50pm
JPY
Trade Balance
27/01/2014
9:00am
EUR
German Ifo Business Climate
All Day
EUR
Eurogroup Meetings
11:00am
EUR
German Buba Monthly Report
3:00pm
USD
New Home Sales
6:00pm
EUR
German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
11:00pm
AUD
CB Leading Index m/m
28/01/2014
12:30am
AUD
NAB Business Confidence
Tentative
EUR
German Constitutional Court Ruling
9:30am
GBP
Prelim GDP q/q
All Day
EUR
ECOFIN Meetings
1:30pm
USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
1:30pm
USD
Durable Goods Orders m/m
2:00pm
USD
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
3:00pm
USD
CB Consumer Confidence
29/01/2014
2:00am
USD
President Obama Speaks
7:00am
EUR
GfK German Consumer Climate
7:00am
GBP
Nationwide HPI m/m
9:00am
EUR
M3 Money Supply y/y
Tentative
EUR
German 10-y Bond Auction
12:15pm
GBP
BOE Gov Carney Speaks
3:30pm
USD
Crude Oil Inventories
7:00pm
USD
FOMC Statement
7:00pm
USD
Federal Funds Rate
8:00pm
NZD
Official Cash Rate
8:00pm
NZD
RBNZ Rate Statement
9:45pm
NZD
Building Consents m/m
11:50pm
JPY
Retail Sales y/y
30/01/2014
Tentative
AUD
HIA New Home Sales m/m
12:30am
AUD
Import Prices q/q
1:45am
CNY
HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI
All Day
EUR
German Prelim CPI m/m
8:00am
CHF
KOF Economic Barometer
8:00am
EUR
Spanish Flash GDP q/q
8:55am
EUR
German Unemployment Change
9:30am
GBP
Net Lending to Individuals m/m
Tentative
EUR
Italian 10-y Bond Auction
1:30pm
USD
Advance GDP q/q
1:30pm
USD
Unemployment Claims
1:30pm
USD
Advance GDP Price Index q/q
3:00pm
USD
Pending Home Sales m/m
3:30pm
USD
Natural Gas Storage
9:45pm
NZD
Trade Balance
11:00pm
NZD
RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks
11:30pm
JPY
Household Spending y/y
11:30pm
JPY
Tokyo Core CPI y/y
11:50pm
JPY
Prelim Industrial Production m/m
31/01/2014
12:30am
AUD
PPI q/q
12:30am
AUD
Private Sector Credit m/m
7:00am
EUR
German Retail Sales m/m
7:45am
EUR
French Consumer Spending m/m
10:00am
EUR
CPI Flash Estimate y/y
10:00am
EUR
Unemployment Rate
1:30pm
CAD
GDP m/m
1:30pm
USD
Core PCE Price Index m/m
1:30pm
USD
Employment Cost Index q/q
1:30pm
USD
Personal Spending m/m
2:45pm
USD
Chicago PMI
2:55pm
USD
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
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