Binary Options Weekly Outlook: February 3 – February 7
February 3, 2014 7:40 amVideo
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February 3, 2014 – Weekly News
WEEKLY REPORT 03/02-07/02
EUR/USD
Last week the EUR/USD pair decreased by 1.73%. The pair mainly fell on Thursday – the day after Fed announced another cut in monetary stimulus (from $75 billion/month to $65 billion/month). On Thursday and on Friday we saw that German and EU CPI came out below expectation which might lead to another cut in interest rates. The EUR/USD pair finished the week below 1.3500 on 1.3478. This week the main event will be the U.S. Non-farm payrolls which will be released on Friday. We should pay attention to some pre-data before the actual NFP: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q. On Thursday the EU Minimum Bid Rate will be announced followed by Press Conference.
USD/JPY
Last week the USD/JPY pair has been moving sideways between 101.80 and 103.40. The pair did not react on stronger U.S. Dollar because Yen was benefiting as a safe-haven currency. However, most of the analysts predict that Yen will decline against U.S. Dollar on a longer-term outlook. This week the pair will be driven by U.S. data and speculation over Friday’s Non-farm payrolls. From the Japanese market we should pay attention to Tuesday’s Average Cash Earnings.
GBP/USD
The GBP/USD pair finished last week below 1.6440 which means decreased by 0.3%. British pound suffered from BoE Governor Mark Carney’s speech where he was slightly dovish but the main decline came with strengthening of the U.S. Dollar on Thursday. This week is busy on U.K. and U.S. economic data. On Monday we should keep an eye on U.K. Manufacturing PMI and U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI. On Tuesday the U.K. Construction PMI will come out. On Wednesday the U.K. Services PMI and U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be released. On Thursday very important U.K. Official Bank rate plus MPC Rate Statement will be posted. And on Friday the U.S. Non-farm payrolls.
GOLD
The price of Gold slid from last Monday’s $1,278/ounce to last Friday’s $1,240/ounce and finished on $1,244/ounce. The price was first pulled by physical demand before Chinese New year’s holidays. After the physical demand weakened on Thursday and Fed decide to further scale back its monetary stimulus the price rapidly fell. This week due to the fact that the Chinese market has remained closed we should expect less volatility but look on U.S. data. With Friday’s Non-farm payrolls we should be able to find a good trading opportunities.
Economics events (GMT time):
3/3/2014
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
12:30am
AUD
Building Approvals m/m
12:49am
CNY
Non-Manufacturing PMI
8:45am
EUR
Italian Manufacturing PMI
9:30am
GBP
Manufacturing PMI
2:00pm
USD
Treasury Sec Lew Speaks
3:00pm
USD
ISM Manufacturing PMI
11:50pm
JPY
Monetary Base y/y
3/4/2014
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
3:30am
AUD
Cash Rate
3:30am
AUD
RBA Rate Statement
9:30am
GBP
Construction PMI
3:00pm
USD
Factory Orders m/m
9:45pm
NZD
Employment Change q/q
9:45pm
NZD
Unemployment Rate
3/5/2014
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
1:30am
JPY
Average Cash Earnings y/y
8:15am
EUR
Spanish Services PMI
8:45am
EUR
Italian Services PMI
9:30am
GBP
Services PMI
10:00am
EUR
Retail Sales m/m
1:15pm
USD
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
1:30pm
CAD
Building Permits m/m
3:00pm
USD
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
3:30pm
USD
Crude Oil Inventories
5:30pm
USD
FOMC Member Plosser Speaks
3/6/2014
All Day
NZD
Bank Holiday
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
12:30am
AUD
Retail Sales m/m
12:30am
AUD
Trade Balance
3:45am
JPY
30-y Bond Auction
11:00am
EUR
German Factory Orders m/m
12:00pm
GBP
Asset Purchase Facility
12:00pm
GBP
Official Bank Rate
Tentative
GBP
MPC Rate Statement
12:45pm
EUR
Minimum Bid Rate
1:30pm
CAD
Trade Balance
1:30pm
EUR
ECB Press Conference
1:30pm
USD
Trade Balance
1:30pm
USD
Unemployment Claims
1:30pm
USD
Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q
1:30pm
USD
Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q
3:00pm
CAD
Ivey PMI
3/7/2014
12:30am
AUD
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
7:00am
EUR
German Trade Balance
8:00am
CHF
Foreign Currency Reserves
8:15am
CHF
Retail Sales y/y
9:30am
GBP
Manufacturing Production m/m
9:30am
GBP
Trade Balance
11:00am
EUR
German Industrial Production m/m
1:30pm
CAD
Employment Change
1:30pm
CAD
Unemployment Rate
1:30pm
USD
Non-Farm Employment Change
1:30pm
USD
Unemployment Rate
1:30pm
USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
3:00pm
GBP
NIESR GDP Estimate
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