February 2, 2015 – Weekly News

EUR/USD

Despite starting last week at a fresh 11-year low, the EUR/USD halted its bearish sentiment and added 200 pips by the end of the week. The increase was caused by the European Union as the new Prime Minister of Greece, Alexis Tsipras, began to negotiate the previous bailout. Worries that Greece will be against paying its debt and exit the Eurozone disappeared and the political situation calmed down. As new stimulus was added by Mario Draghi 2 weeks ago, the economic outlook should now improve.

This week, traders should await the U.S. Non-farm payrolls data which will be released on Friday. A few pieces of pre-data will also be released and will provide insight into what to expect. On Monday, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released and the U.S ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will be released on Wednesday.

 

GBP/USD

Last week, the GBP/USD recovered from its fall caused by the expansion of monetary stimulus in the EU. During the first two days of the week, the pair added 200 pips. However, following dovish comments from the Bank of England, the momentum changed and the pair dropped back down to 1.4990. Later in the week, weak U.S GDP figures were released, showing an increase of just 2.6% pushing the pair back up to its current level of 1.5070.

This week, traders should pay attention to U.S data and to the U.K. official bank rate and rate statement. If last week’s dovish tone remains, the pair may decline again.

 

GOLD

Gold dropped from $1,281/ounce to $1,250/ounce and almost posted its worst weekly decline seen for 3 months. However, following weak U.S GDP figures, the metal then sharply climbed back above $1,280/ounce. Demand for the safe haven asset increased as U.S. output shrank from its previous level of 5% to 2.6%.In addition, demand for gold was spurred as the stock market declined.

This week, traders should watch the U.S labour data releases and quarterly reports which will drive U.S. stocks.

 

Economics events (GMT time):

 

2/2/2015

1:35am

JPY

Final Manufacturing PMI

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI

5:30am

AUD

Commodity Prices y/y

8:30am

CHF

Manufacturing PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Manufacturing PMI

9:30am

GBP

Manufacturing PMI

1:30pm

USD

Personal Spending m/m

2:45pm

USD

Final Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

3:00pm

USD

Construction Spending m/m

3:00pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing Prices

11:50pm

JPY

Monetary Base y/y

3/2/2015

12:00am

NZD

ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

12:30am

AUD

Building Approvals m/m

12:30am

AUD

Trade Balance

3:30am

AUD

Cash Rate

3:30am

AUD

RBA Rate Statement

7:00am

CHF

Trade Balance

9:30am

GBP

Construction PMI

3:00pm

USD

Factory Orders m/m

9:45pm

NZD

Employment Change q/q

9:45pm

NZD

Unemployment Rate

10:30pm

AUD

AIG Services Index

11:00pm

NZD

RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks

4/2/2015

1:30am

JPY

Average Cash Earnings y/y

1:45am

CNY

HSBC Services PMI

9:00am

EUR

Final Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

Services PMI

10:00am

EUR

Retail Sales m/m

1:15pm

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

2:45pm

USD

Final Services PMI

3:00pm

CAD

Ivey PMI

3:00pm

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

3:30pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

5/2/2015

12:30am

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

12:30am

AUD

NAB Quarterly Business Confidence

7:00am

EUR

German Factory Orders m/m

9:10am

EUR

Retail PMI

12:00pm

GBP

Official Bank Rate

12:00pm

GBP

Asset Purchase Facility

Tentative

GBP

MPC Rate Statement

12:30pm

USD

Challenger Job Cuts y/y

1:30pm

CAD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

USD

Trade Balance

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

1:30pm

USD

Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q

1:30pm

USD

Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q

3:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

6/2/2015

All Day

NZD

Bank Holiday

12:30am

AUD

RBA Monetary Policy Statement

5:00am

JPY

Leading Indicators

7:00am

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

8:00am

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

8:15am

CHF

Retail Sales y/y

9:30am

GBP

Trade Balance

1:30pm

CAD

Building Permits m/m

1:30pm

CAD

Employment Change

1:30pm

CAD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Rate

1:30pm

USD

Average Hourly Earnings m/m

5:45pm

USD

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