February 16, 2015 – Weekly News

WEEKLY REPORT 16/2-20/2

EUR/USD

In the beginning of last week the EUR/USD pair moved sideways in a narrow channel as investors were waiting for results from meeting between Greece and euro group financial ministers. Due to the fact that there were no decisions the single currency did not significantly move. However, on Thursday the U.S. Retail Sales data came below expectations and weakened the dollar. The pair increased above 1.1440 where has remained until now. This week, the main topic will be Greek negotiation about agreement over their debt which takes place on Monday. Even though the negotiations are moving slowly, market does not see a treat from possible “Grexit” as in past few weeks. On Tuesday, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment will be released and it is expected that the figure will be the highest in 12 months. On Wednesday, we should not forget about U.S. FOMC Meeting minutes report where traders will look for any hints about possible interest rate hike. On Thursday, the similar report will be posted by ECB. On Friday, pay attention to the EU Manufacturing and Services PMI.

GBP/USD

Last week, the GBP/USD pair broke through the strong resistance and increased above 1.5400 – 6-week high. As well as the EUR/USD pair, the GBP/USD pair was driven by weaker U.S. dollar which depreciated due to very weak Retail Sales data. The movement up was also supported by hawkish inflation report. Mark Carney, governor of Bank of England, stated that although the inflation has been very low, the forecast predicts the rate to reach the 2% target within 2 years. This week may start slower as U.S. market will remained closed due to holidays observation. Volatility should pick up on Tuesday when the U.K. CPI data will be announced. On Wednesday, keep an eye on the U.S. FOMC Meeting minutes which may push the pair lower, if the report supports dollar. On Friday, pay attention to the U.K. Retails Sales data release.

GOLD

The price of gold fluctuated last week between $1,245/ounce and $1,216/ounce. During the first half of the week, the price declined as ceasefire about Ukraine was signed in Belarus and investors damped the safe-haven assets. However, due to softer US Dollar, the price of yellow metal climbed back to current $1,230/ounce. This week, trades should pay attentions to negotiations in Brussels regarding Greek debt. Any concerns that Greece might exit euro area would immediately pull the price of gold up. On Wednesday, once the FOMC report will be release we do expect higher volatility on this asset which should be great opportunity for binary option traders.

Economics events (GMT time):

16/02/2015

12:30am

AUD

New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m

1:30am

CNY

Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y

4:30am

JPY

Revised Industrial Production m/m

 10:00am

EUR

Trade Balance

All Day

EUR

Eurogroup Meetings

11:00am

EUR

German Buba Monthly Report

All Day

USD

Bank Holiday

17/02/2015

12:30am

AUD

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

9:00am

EUR

Italian Trade Balance

9:30am

GBP

CPI y/y

10:00am

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

10:00am

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

1:30pm

CAD

Foreign Securities Purchases

1:30pm

USD

Empire State Manufacturing Index

5:00pm

CHF

SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks

9:00pm

USD

TIC Long-Term Purchases

11:00pm

AUD

CB Leading Index m/m

11:30pm

AUD

MI Leading Index m/m

18/02/2015

All Day

CNY

Bank Holiday

Tentative

JPY

Monetary Policy Statement

Tentative

JPY

BOJ Press Conference

9:30am

GBP

Claimant Count Change

9:30am

GBP

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

9:30am

GBP

MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes

9:30am

GBP

Unemployment Rate

10:00am

CHF

ZEW Economic Expectations

Tentative

EUR

German 10-y Bond Auction

1:30pm

CAD

Wholesale Sales m/m

1:30pm

USD

Building Permits

1:30pm

USD

PPI m/m

1:30pm

USD

Housing Starts

2:15pm

USD

Capacity Utilization Rate

2:15pm

USD

Industrial Production m/m

7:00pm

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

10:00pm

USD

FOMC Member Powell Speaks

11:50pm

JPY

Trade Balance

19/02/2015

All Day

CNY

Bank Holiday

4:30am

JPY

All Industries Activity m/m

5:00am

JPY

BOJ Monthly Report

7:00am

CHF

Trade Balance

9:00am

EUR

Current Account

11:00am

GBP

CBI Industrial Order Expectations

12:30pm

EUR

ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

1:30pm

USD

Unemployment Claims

3:00pm

EUR

Consumer Confidence

3:00pm

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

3:30pm

USD

Natural Gas Storage

4:00pm

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

5:15pm

CAD

Gov Council Member Cote Speaks

20/02/2015

All Day

CNY

Bank Holiday

1:35am

JPY

Flash Manufacturing PMI

7:00am

EUR

German PPI m/m

8:30am

EUR

German Flash Manufacturing PMI

8:30am

EUR

German Flash Services PMI

9:00am

EUR

Flash Manufacturing PMI

9:00am

EUR

Flash Services PMI

9:30am

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

9:30am

GBP

Public Sector Net Borrowing

1:30pm

CAD

Core Retail Sales m/m

1:30pm

CAD

Retail Sales m/m

2:45pm

USD

Flash Manufacturing PMI

 

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