December 22, 2014 – Weekly News

EUR/USD

Last week, the EUR/USD unexpectedly climbed above 1.2550 following the release of strong data. The German ZEW Economic confidence tripled the previous months figure and the European ZEW Economic Sentiment also almost tripled the previous figure. The data showed that conditions in Europe are improving. Later in the week, however, German Ifo Business Sentiment data was released and came out on target pushing the pair back below 1.2300. The downwards momentum was supported by the FOMC statement which showed a change of opinion regarding increasing the interest rate. Janet Yellen hinted that the hike could be made sooner than expected pushing the pair down to 1.2230.

Low volatility is expected this week due to the Christmas holidays. We may see good trading opportunities on Tuesday as the U.S. Final GDP and Core Durable Goods data will be released.

 

USD/JPY

At the beginning of last week, the USD/JPY dropped to a low of 115.5 as the Yen strengthened strongly. The boost came from elections in Japan where Shinzo Abe was re-elected showing that faith remains in his ‘Abenomics’ policies despite recent economic problems. Additional support was added as traders invested in safe haven assets following the strong drop in oil prices. Later in the week, hawkish news from the Fed pushed the pair back up and it finished the week at 119.5.

Movement is expected to be minimal this week but traders should pay attention to U.S. data on Tuesday and the Japanese CPI release on Thursday.

 

Gold

Last week, Gold traded with high volatility and climbed above $1,200/ounce a few times. The pair reacted to the crisis in Russia which resulted in a sharp depreciation of the Ruble. As the situation calmed and oil prices rebounded, however, the metal weakened and finished the week at $1,195/ounce.

We may now see increased demand for Gold as a weekend report showed that Arab countries are not willing to cut oil production. Traders should watch the U.S. stock market as it has been trending upwards recently and acts as an alternative investment to the metal.

 

22/12/2014

5:00amJPYBOJ Monthly Report
9:30amGBPFPC Meeting Minutes
3:00pmEURConsumer Confidence
3:00pmUSDExisting Home Sales
9:45pmNZDTrade Balance

23/12/2014

All DayJPYBank Holiday
2:00amCNYCB Leading Index m/m
7:45amEURFrench Consumer Spending m/m
9:30amGBPCurrent Account
9:30amGBPFinal GDP q/q
1:30pmCADGDP m/m
1:30pmUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m
1:30pmUSDFinal GDP q/q
1:30pmUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m
1:30pmUSDFinal GDP Price Index q/q
2:55pmUSDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment
2:55pmUSDRevised UoM Inflation Expectations
3:00pmUSDNew Home Sales
3:00pmUSDPersonal Spending m/m
3:00pmUSDPersonal Income m/m
11:00pmAUDCB Leading Index m/m

24/12/2014

All DayEURGerman Bank Holiday
8:00amCHFKOF Economic Barometer
1:30pmUSDUnemployment Claims
3:30pmUSDCrude Oil Inventories
5:00pmUSDNatural Gas Storage
All DayNZDBank Holiday
All DayAUDBank Holiday
11:50pmJPYMonetary Policy Meeting Minutes

25/12/2014

3:45amJPYBOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks
5:00amJPYHousing Starts y/y
All DayCHFBank Holiday
All DayEURFrench Bank Holiday
All DayEURGerman Bank Holiday
All DayEURItalian Bank Holiday
All DayGBPBank Holiday
All DayCADBank Holiday
All DayUSDBank Holiday
All DayNZDBank Holiday
All DayAUDBank Holiday
11:30pmJPYHousehold Spending y/y
11:30pmJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y
11:30pmJPYNational Core CPI y/y
11:30pmJPYUnemployment Rate
11:50pmJPYPrelim Industrial Production m/m
11:50pmJPYRetail Sales y/y

26/12/2014

1:30amJPYAverage Cash Earnings y/y
All DayCHFBank Holiday
All DayEURGerman Bank Holiday
All DayEURItalian Bank Holiday
All DayGBPBank Holiday
All DayCADBank Holiday
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