Binary Options Weekly Outlook: April 28 – May 2
April 28, 2014 8:05 amVideo
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April 28, 2014 – Weekly News
WEEKLY REPORT 28/04-02/05
EUR/USD
Last week the EUR/USD pair continued moving sideways between 1.3785 and 1.3860. The pair slightly increased as the EU Flash Manufacturing PMI came out better than expected and despite dovish statements from European Central Bank president Mario Draghi, the pair has remained strong. Traders seems to rely on the strong Euro rather than on the Dollar which might be change soon if the ECB starts to add stimulus. This week there will be several data coming out which we should watch. First the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence which will comes out on Tuesday. On Wednesday we should pay attention to EU CPI Flash Estimate and U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP and FOMC Statement. On Thursday Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen is about to speak at the Independent Community Bankers of America’s Annual Policy Summit but this day might be quiet as most of the European markets remains closed due to public holiday. On Friday we should take the opportunity and trade the Non-farm employment change.
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair decreased last week from 102.70 to 102.00 level. The main movement we did not see from the Japanese CPI data as most of analyst expect but from the escalating tension in Ukraine. The political crisis between Ukraine and Russia seemed to fade with the agreement signed in Geneva, however in the end of the week we saw that the tension increased again. The U.S. and European Union are going to impose another sanctions against Russia probably already today (on Monday). That might push the pair lower as investors will move to safe-haven currencies. Except of this, we should pay attention to Japanese Monetary Policy Statement and BoJ Outlook Report plus U.S. FOMC Statement which are coming out on Wednesday. On Friday we should not forget about the U.S. Non-farm payrolls.
GBP/USD
Last week the GBP/USD did not exceed the previous highs despite great U.K. data. That might sign that the pair is already now overvaulted and the price has tension to go down. The pair can offer us great trading opportunities this week. Namely on Tuesday the U.K. GDP is expected to increase by 0.9% which is the highest tempo since October 2012 and proving the U.K. economic recovery. Such a good outlook will pull the pair up but as we wrote before it is unlikely that the pair remains as high as 1.6840. On Thursday the Manufacturing PMI will be released and cause some volatility. The main event of this week will be the Friday’s U.S. Non-farm payrolls.
GOLD
Gold offered us last week great trading opportunities. First as the U.S. stocks were performing really well the price dropped as gold lost its shine. However, as the tension in Ukraine increased investors started to buy the safe-haven asset and the price jumped from Thursday’s $1,270/ounce to current $1,305/ounce. We saw in past that the price immediately as the tension calms down will decline back down so we suggest to trade short-term trades. We should pay attention to U.S. data this week which will finish with U.S. Non-farm payrolls. On Wednesday very important for the price of gold will be the FOMC statement.
Economics events (GMT time):
28/04/14
6:00am
EUR
German Import Prices m/m
Tentative
EUR
German Buba Monthly Report
2:00pm
USD
Pending Home Sales m/m
10:45pm
NZD
Trade Balance
29/04/14
All Day
JPY
Bank Holiday
6:00am
EUR
GfK German Consumer Climate
All Day
EUR
German Prelim CPI m/m
8:30am
GBP
Prelim GDP q/q
2:00pm
USD
CB Consumer Confidence
7:30pm
CAD
BOC Gov Poloz Speaks
10:45pm
NZD
Building Consents m/m
11:05pm
GBP
GfK Consumer Confidence
11:15pm
JPY
Manufacturing PMI
11:50pm
JPY
Prelim Industrial Production m/m
30/04/14
1:00am
NZD
ANZ Business Confidence
1:30am
AUD
Private Sector Credit m/m
1:30am
JPY
Average Cash Earnings y/y
Tentative
JPY
Monetary Policy Statement
5:00am
JPY
Housing Starts y/y
6:00am
EUR
German Retail Sales m/m
6:00am
JPY
BOJ Outlook Report
Tentative
JPY
BOJ Press Conference
7:55am
EUR
German Unemployment Change
9:00am
EUR
CPI Flash Estimate y/y
12:15pm
USD
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
12:30pm
CAD
GDP m/m
12:30pm
USD
Advance GDP q/q
1:45pm
USD
Chicago PMI
2:30pm
USD
Crude Oil Inventories
3:30pm
GBP
MPC Member Dale Speaks
6:00pm
USD
FOMC Statement
6:00pm
USD
Federal Funds Rate
11:30pm
AUD
AIG Manufacturing Index
1/5/2014
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
1:00am
CNY
Manufacturing PMI
1:30am
AUD
Import Prices q/q
All Day
CHF
Bank Holiday
All Day
EUR
German Bank Holiday
All Day
EUR
Italian Bank Holiday
6:00am
GBP
Nationwide HPI m/m
6:30am
AUD
Commodity Prices y/y
All Day
EUR
French Bank Holiday
8:30am
GBP
Manufacturing PMI
1st-5th
EUR
EU Economic Forecasts
12:30pm
USD
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks
12:30pm
USD
Unemployment Claims
1:00pm
USD
Final Manufacturing PMI
2:00pm
USD
ISM Manufacturing PMI
2:00pm
USD
Construction Spending m/m
2:00pm
USD
ISM Manufacturing Prices
2:30pm
USD
Natural Gas Storage
5:30pm
GBP
MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks
11:30pm
JPY
Household Spending y/y
11:30pm
JPY
Unemployment Rate
11:50pm
JPY
Monetary Base y/y
FriMay 2
All Day
CNY
Bank Holiday
Tentative
AUD
HIA New Home Sales m/m
1:00am
NZD
ANZ Commodity Prices m/m
1:30am
AUD
PPI q/q
7:15am
EUR
Spanish Manufacturing PMI
7:45am
EUR
Italian Manufacturing PMI
8:00am
EUR
Final Manufacturing PMI
8:30am
GBP
Construction PMI
9:00am
EUR
Unemployment Rate
12:30pm
USD
Non-Farm Employment Change
12:30pm
USD
Unemployment Rate
12:30pm
USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
2:00pm
USD
Factory Orders m/m
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