Wednesday was a very significant day for the US Dollar Index says Chris Vecchio, senior currency strategist at DailyFX, which saw the greenback push below 95.16, the pivot low from early November.

He says there looks to be downside for DXY while EUR/USD could get a boost in the near term. Vecchio says a weekly close between 95.16 will provide greater confidence in US dollar weakness ahead. Vecchio says the risks around the short dollar trade stem from a resolution to the US-China trade war and an end to the partial US government shutdown, both of which would likely push US bond yields back up and in turn lift the dollar.

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