(click to enlarge)

The euro managed to bounce back from extremely oversold conditions on the hourly chart, indicated by an RSI reading of 12, following the knee-jerk reaction to the surprise quarter-point interest rate cut by the ECB.

The low immediately after the rate cut was 1.3293, while perhaps a more reliable reading reflecting active two-way trading was 1.3324. This level should provide short-term support on any fresh euro down move (Support 1 on the chart).

On the upside, the 1.3449 is the first level of resistance and then the 1.3545 resistance level, before the rate cut. The 50-hour moving average at 1.3466 could also be somewhat challenging to break on any upmove.

The price action is below the 50-period moving average which indicates a bearish trend. The RSI at 40 is also in bearish territory.

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