Feb 12th 2019: Dollar Holds at Highs

Morning Report: 07.00 London The US dollar index is pausing at the highs this morning after reaching six week highs yesterday. Trade talks with the US and China have resumed, helping US markets to push higher yesterday, with consolidation this morning. The EUR/USD is pausing at the lows after plunging through the 1.1300 level yesterday. […]

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Elliott wave analysis of GBP/JPY for February 12, 2019

Nothing really have changed here. After a day of narrow range-trading, we continue to look for a break above minor resistance at 142.63 to confirm that wave iv/ has completed and wave v/ higher towards 151.50 is developing. That said, we need to be aware, that as long as minor resistance at 142.63 is able […]

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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for February 12, 2019

After a day of range-trading, we are still looking for a break above minor resistance at 125.07 to confirm wave ii has completed and wave iii higher to 133.54 is developing. That said, we need to be aware of the possibility of a deep corrective decline in wave ii as long as minor resistance at […]

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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 12, 2019

GBP/USD dropped below 1.2930 area under impulsive bearish pressure recently which changed the bias to bearish, aiming for further bearish momentum. The UK GDP showed a slowdown in the domestic economy in the final quarter of 2018. Besides, the BREXIT pressure is still going on that is certainly bearish for GBP for the medium term. […]

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Trading plan for EUR/USD for February 12, 2019

Technical outlook: We have presented the Daily chart for EUR/USD since September 24, 2018 till current date, to have a larger view of the potential swing. As seen here, EUR/USD formed interim support at 1.1215 levels on November 12, 2018 and since then it has been producing a very complex corrective and sideways price action. […]

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Aussie home lending dips, Central bank speakers on tap, a deal in congress?

https://pepperstone.com/en/forex-news/market-review -GBP, EUR and AUD stem their losses -Dollar index back above 97 -Theresa May to give a Brexit update -Congress pencils in a deal on that border funding -Catalan leaders on trial in Spain -The OECD on growth during 2019 The overnight changes and price moves to be aware of by Pepperstone’s Market Analyst, […]

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Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, Feb 12, 2019

When the European market opens, no economic data will be released. The US will publish the economic data such as JOLTS Job Openings and NFIB Small Business Index, so amid the reports, the EUR/USD pair will move with a low to a medium volatility during this day. TODAY’S TECHNICAL LEVEL: Breakout BUY Level: 1.1331. Strong […]

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Technical analysis: Intraday level for USD/JPY, Feb 12, 2019

In Asia, Japan will release the Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y, Tertiary Industry Activity m/m, and M2 Money Stock y/y. The US will also publish some economic data such as JOLTS Job Openings and NFIB Small Business Index. So there is a probability the USD/JPY pair will move with a low to a medium volatility […]

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Oil trades in different directions on conflicting factors

The price of Brent crude is showing mixed trends at the beginning of a new trading week. Quotes of the asset vary over a wide range of $61.30-62.30 per barrel. Market participants regain data on the growth in the number of drilling rigs in the United States and follow the news on trade negotiations between […]

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GBP/USD. 11 February. Results of the day. Failure on all fronts

4-hour timeframe The amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 74p – 128p – 54p – 143p – 54p. Average amplitude for the last 5 days: 91p (94p). The British pound sterling resumed its downward movement on the first trading day of the new week. There were plenty of grounds for this, even if for […]

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GBP/USD. Britain’s economy has slowed down, but the pound will wait for May’s speech

Today, the British currency received another blow: data on GDP growth and industrial production were in the “red zone”, showing a significant slowdown. Almost three years of uncertainty affect the country’s main macroeconomic indicators, and this fact is increasingly reminiscent of itself. Against the background of such trends, the negative news on Brexit is severely […]

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Special Report – Aussie and Kiwi outlook: storm clouds gathering?

Both the Australian and New Zealand dollars have seen the wind leave their sails lately, amid mounting speculation that their respective central banks will cut rates soon, and as investors started having second thoughts about a US-China trade deal. Examining the landscape for each economy, the case for looser policy in New Zealand seems much […]

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Bitcoin analysis for February 11, 2019

Bitcoin spiked higher and tested the price of $3.763. Our profit target at $3.543 has been reached. Anyway, after the spike I found a sideways regime, which usually happens after the climatic activity. Symmetrical triangle is building and you should pay attention for the potential breakout of support or resistance trendline. Trading recommendation: Scenario 1 […]

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February 11, 2019: The EUR/USD pair is already testing the daily uptrend line around 1.3000.

Since June 2018, the EUR/USD pair has been moving sideways with slight bearish tendency within the depicted bearish Channel (In RED). On November 13, the EUR/USD demonstrated recent bullish recovery around 1.1220-1.1250 where the current bullish movement above the depicted short-term bullish channel (In BLUE) was initiated. Bullish fixation above 1.1420 was needed to enhance […]

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EUR/USD analysis for February 11, 2019

EUR/USD has been trading downwards. The price did a breakout of the key short-term multi-pivot trendline (1.3000), which is a sign that sellers are in control. The next important support levels are set at 1.1240 and at the price of 1.1215. The short-term trend is bearish and you should watch for selling opportunities. Trading recommendation: […]

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GBP / USD. Britain’s economy has slowed down, but the pound will wait for May’s speech

The British currency today received another blow. Data on the growth of GDP and industrial production were in the “red zone”, demonstrating a rather significant slowdown. The almost three-year period of uncertainty affects the main macroeconomic indicators of the country, and this fact is increasingly reminded of itself. Against the background of such trends, the […]

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Analysis of Gold for February 11, 2019

Gold has been trading downwards. The price tested the level of $1,304.00. According to the H4 time frame, I found that Gold did a successful breakout of the bearish flag pattern (ABC correction) which is a sign that selling continues. I also found confirmed the Head and Shoulders pattern in the background which is another […]

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UK economy in 2018 worse than in 2012. How will the pound behave?

The British economy went into decline in the last three months of last year, which resulted in the growth in 2018 to be the weakest in the last six years. Overall, growth rates fell to 1.4 percent compared with 1.8 percent in 2017. Exports are suffering from the weakness of the global economy and both […]

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Technical Analysis – EURCHF creates spikes in sideways channel

EURCHF created an aggressive upside spike on Monday, after the bounce off the 40-simple moving average (SMA) in the daily timeframe and on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward movement from 1.1710 to 1.1180, around 1.1305. Currently, the pair is consolidating within a sideways channel with upper boundary the 1.1470 level and lower boundary the 1.1180 support. […]

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The United States faces shutdown again

The negotiations that took place in the US Congress last weekend again did not bring the desired results on the issue of border security, which threatens the likelihood of a deal to further finance the US government this Friday. And it threatens the new “Shutdown.” The immigration issue again became a stumbling block in the […]

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EUR / USD: Greenback’s winning march continues

At the end of last week, the dollar strengthened by more than 1%, demonstrating the best dynamics since August 2018. The winning greenback series can be the longest since February 2017. The USD index has been closing in the green zone for already 6 trading sessions in a row. The demand for the dollar as […]

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Global trade on the verge of recession

Currently, a number of experts pay attention to signs of a slowdown in the global economy. Most signals indicate that it is approaching a recession. This is confirmed by the large-scale decline in global trade over the past three years. For ten years, most of the negative economic news was perceived by financial markets with […]

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Weekly review of the foreign exchange market for February 11, 2019

The dollar couldn’t improve its position in relation to the single European currency and the pound. Although in the United States themselves no significant macroeconomic data did not come out. It is difficult to name data on production orders or orders for durable goods, as well as applications for unemployment benefits, are so decisive. At […]

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The Bank of England has extended a helping hand to the pound

Will the British pound be able to recover after the most devastating week since October? The Bank of England’s decline in foggy Albion’s GDP forecasts for 2019 from 1.7% in the previous estimate to 1.2% (the weakest level since the global financial crisis), unfavorable political landscape and a gaining US dollar lowered the GBP / […]

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