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The EU Morning Report – Risk aversion across the board as gold spikes 23 dollars – 18 July 2014

Currencies

  • The euro (EUR) continues to subside against the US dollar (USD) as the single currency touched a one month low at 1.3511. The pair has further support at 1.3477 and 1.3399. Investors are looking ahead to the EU Current account balance coming out this morning.
  • The US dollar (USD) rebounded from 101.09, a strong support, against the Japanese yen (JPY). The pair, currently at 101.32 remains buoyant as markets anticipate a better than expected US consumer sentiment.

Equities

  • Asian equities were mixed yesterday with the China 50 (CNX) rising to 6709, the Japan 225 (NKI) falling to 15192, the India 50 (IND) stable at 7615 and the Hong Kong rebounding from 23080 to 23301.

Commodities

  • Natural gas (NGS) prices tumbled to 3.94 dollars per 10,000 mmBTU on higher than expected natural gas storage implying excess supply. Gas prices have subsided from 6. Dollars in March, on the peak of the Ukrainian crisis to almost half.

Mover & Shaker with FX Options

  • Gold (XAU) rose to 1324.22 dollars per ounce from 1299.00 yesterday afternoon as risk aversion hit the markets on news that a Malaysian civilian aircraft was downed over Ukraine. The precious metal has since subsided to 1313.00.

  • Option traders may consider constructing a Back Spread Strategy with Calls on the XAUUSD and gain if the pair moves higher, while the risk is limited to the premium paid.
  • A Back Spread Strategy with Calls can be constructed by selling an at the money Call while buying an out of the money Call at double amount.
Written by Orestis Aristides
Currency strategist at easy-forex

Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be suitable for everyone.

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