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Euros trending as markets expect Italian news

The euro (EUR) dropped to 1.3062 versus the US dollar (USD) as the American economy goes through sequestration and the Italian political scene still remains blurry. Sequestration will involve across the board cuts in the US public sector which will allow the US to run balanced budgets in the future, at the same time Ben Bernanke’s comments in congress confirmed the need for continued QE.

  • WTI Crude (OIL) dropped to 91.82 as the energy completes a two year pennant formation in which it is now in a downward trend

  • Gold (XAU) continues its slide touching 1575 before rebounding to 1580 as investors expect a return to growth within 2013

  • The euro (EUR) lost ground against the sterling (GBP). The single currency remains unstable as long as Italian politics continue being fluid.

  • Weekly option volatilities for the EURUSD rose slightly from 10.35 to 10.80 as investor’s factor in sequestration effects and option premiums rise.

Stay in tune throughout the day with foreign exchange bullets!

Movers & Shakers

USDJPY

The US dollar (USD) continues to regain lost ground against the Japanese yen (JPY). The new Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda seems to have convinced investors on his determination to reverse Japanese deflation. Currently the pair has support at 91.09 and may look for its previous resistance at 94.83

Outlook

EURUSD Pivot Point 1.3095 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.3095.

Sentiment is 51% of deals to buy EUR

USDJPY Pivot Point 92.40 with a preference to go LONG at 92.40.

Sentiment is 40% of deals to buy EUR

GBPUSD Pivot Point 1.5145 with a preference to go LONG at 1.5145.

Sentiment is 67% of deals to buy GBP

AUDUSD Pivot Point 1.0255 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.0255.

Sentiment is 76% of deals to buy AUD

GOLD Pivot Point 1592 with a preference to go SHORT at 1592.

Sentiment is 68% of deals to buy GOLD

OIL Pivot Point 92.55 with a preference to go SHORT at 92.55.

Sentiment is 70% of deals to buy OIL

US 500 Pivot Point 1497 with a preference to go Long at 1497.

Sentiment is 24% to buy US 500

UK 100 Pivot Point 6275 with a preference to go Long at 6275.

Sentiment is 27% to buy UK 100

Calendar

GBP – UK Manufacturing PMI at 09:30(GMT) Forecast 51.0

CAD – Canadian GDP m/m at 13:30(GMT) Forecast -0.2%

USD – ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00(GMT) Forecast 52.7

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