FOREX Daily Outlook by Easy-Forex.comEasy-Forex.com - Making Foreign Exchange Easy

Key
Bank of Japan Meeting Begins

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) the
dollar had a mixed day on Friday with stocks finishing flat we looked to other
stories to move the FX markets. US Q3 GDP was slightly stronger than forecast
at 2.0% vs. 1.9% previously. The large drop in USD/JPY was on the back of
profit taking slipping to Y79.50 vs. Y80 previously.
Looking ahead, September
Personal Income forecast at 0.4% vs. 0.1% m/m previously. Also September
Consumption forecast at 0.6% vs. 0.5% m/m previously.

The Euro (EUR) focus on Greece
once again with a leaked troika report suggesting other EU nations would have
to take a haircut on their current loans and allow up to 2 more years for
Greece to implement the Austerity/labor reforms. Adding to the uncertainty was talk
in the markets that Greece’s opposition would block the new proposed labor
laws.
The Sterling (GBP) had a
very quiet end to the week falling back to 1.6100 after finding resistance at
1.6140 twice. The flat US stocks hurt sentiment and prompted a small pullback
but EUR/GBP selling supported again with the pair remaining just above the
0.8000.
Looking ahead, German
CPI forecast at 0.0% m/m.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) USD/JPY was the
most active pair in the market with a sharp reversal from Y80 after the US GDP data
failed to inspire fresh gains. Profit taking ahead of the BOJ meeting dominated
the price action Friday. The BOJ is expected to be aggressive when it concludes
its meeting tomorrow with an increase to its own Asset Purchase Program and
potentially sets its inflation target higher.
Australian Dollar (AUD) failed
to break 1.0300 during the European session Friday and enjoyed a short squeeze
back to 1.0380 as US stocks pared back losses. AUD/JPY capped with the USD/JPY
selling pushing the cross back to Y82.50.
Looking ahead, no
economic data from Asia today.

Oil & Gold (XAU) found support just
above $1700 and bulls caught the market short quickly popping back to $1718
. OIL/USD fell even with the
large storms in the Atlantic finding support at $85.

Pairs to watch

EUR/USD 1.2900 to hold?

OIL/USD Storm to provide support?

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

Currency

Sup 2

Sup 1

Spot

Res 1

Res 2

EUR/USD

1.2861

1.2884

1.2930

1.2970

1.3015

USD/JPY

78.91

79.22

79.70

80.04

80.38

GBP/USD

1.5951

1.6063

1.6090

1.6144

1.6221

AUD/USD

1.0270

1.0330

1.0350

1.0385

1.0412

XAU/USD

1690.00

1700

1713

1718

1733

OIL/USD

82.50

 

85.00

85.75

86.00

88.00

 

By Anthony Darvall (TonyD)

 

 

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