Easy Forex Daily Forex Report 17-08-2012
August 17, 2012 10:30 pmVideo
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EUR/USD leads pack higher
U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) stocks
kicked higher again overnight and the safe haven USD weakened against most currencies
with the EUR/USD the front runner. US July Housing data was mixed with
Housing starts down at 746k vs. 757k forecast but July Building Permits at 812k vs.
770k previously. US Stocks gained on the back of European Banking stocks which
soared higher on ECB optimism. Looking ahead, August UoM Consumer
Sentiment forecast at 72.4 vs. 72.3 previously.
The Euro (EUR) the EUR/USD popped
above 1.2300 and shot to 1.2350 with European banks surging on reports Spain should
accept fiscal reforms for heavy ECB intervention in the bond markets. The rally was
helped by German Chancellor Markel’s comments she backed ECB Draghi’s pledge to
do ‘whatever it takes to save the Eurozone’. The Sterling (GBP) the
GBP/USD finally broke 1.5700 decisively and pushed higher to 1.5750 on the back
of the stocks and EUR/USD rally. July Retail Sales at 0.3% vs. -0.1% forecast
helped underpin the move higher and traders are looking to extend the gains. Looking ahead, July
German PPI forecast at 0.4% vs. -0.4% previously.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) Yen weakness
continued overnight with USD/JPY pushing higher into the Y79 region after heavy
sell orders where worked through and the crosses enjoyed fresh gains. EUR/JPY
and GBP/JPY are both rallying higher and beginning uptrends. Continued Yen
weakness will require US Data to remain upbeat and US stocks to remain strong. Australian Dollar (AUD) the
AUD/USD moved back above 1.0500 but did match the gains of other majors with
some slight hesitation to buy Aussie with the recent weakness still fresh in
the traders minds. EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD both continued to push higher and could
be the cause of the AUD/USD underperformance.
Oil & Gold (XAU) XAU/USD enjoyed the
USD weakness to push higher towards $1615. OIL/USD broke $95 in strong
trade with the key level now broken traders will look to the $100 a barrel level
next.
Pairs to watch
USD/JPY to test Y79.50?
AUD/USD to retest 1.0600 now support found?
TECHNICAL COMMENTARY
Currency
Sup 2
Sup 1
Spot
Res 1
Res 2
EUR/USD
1.2242
1.2256
1.2360
1.2388
1.2402
USD/JPY
78.65
78.85
79.30
79.41
79.62
GBP/USD
1.5578
1.5636
1.5730
1.5768
1.5778
AUD/USD
1.0432
1.0455
1.0510
1.0541
1.0578
XAU/USD
1584.00
1600
1616
1618
1625
OIL/USD
92.50
94.00
95.35
96.00
97.00
By Anthony Darvall (TonyD)
Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be suitable for everyone.
Click here to visit Easy-Forex.com
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