What events may affect market sentiment on June 20? Analysis of fundamental data for beginners
June 20, 2023 8:25 am
Analysis of macroeconomic reports:
Monday was uneventful. There are no significant economic reports scheduled for Monday and Tuesday, and all the fundamental events are of secondary importance. Monday was a low volume trading day and both pairs had a slight inclination to correct after a strong rally last week. The same situation will probably persist today.
Among the economic events, the only one worth mentioning is the report on the number of building permits issued in the United States. Even with an empty events calendar, such a report can still provoke a market reaction. But what kind of reaction exactly? For example, on Friday, when volatility was also quite low, the US Consumer Sentiment Index triggered a 30-point reaction (approximately). We might witness the same reaction today. The main point is that volatility is still low, which makes it difficult to trade, regardless of whether there are reports or not.
Analysis of fundamental events:
Among today’s fundamental events, the speeches by European Central Bank representatives Andrea Enria, Luis de Guindos, and Elizabeth McCaul stand out. De Guindos has already spoken earlier, and Enria and McCaul clearly carry less weight in the eyes of traders compared to Schnabel and Lane. Therefore, if traders did not react to yesterday’s speeches, it is even less likely that they would today.
In the US, you can look forward to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials John Williams and James Bullard. However, Bullard does not have voting rights this year, so his hawkish stance (which is expected) is unlikely to affect morale. As for John Williams, the US central bank held a meeting just last week and we have already heard all the necessary information. Furthermore, on Wednesday and Thursday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speeches in Congress will attract much more attention.
General conclusions:
There are few important fundamental and economic events. You can pay attention to the report on the number of building permits issued in the United States, as it is the only event that can truly provoke a reaction on a potentially low volume trading day.
Basic trading rules:
1) The strength of the signal depends on the time period during which the signal was formed (a rebound or a break). The shorter this period, the stronger the signal.
2) If two or more trades were opened at some level following false signals, i.e. those signals that did not lead the price to Take Profit level or the nearest target levels, then any consequent signals near this level should be ignored.
3) During the flat trend, any currency pair may form a lot of false signals or do not produce any signals at all. In any case, the flat trend is not the best condition for trading.
4) Trades are opened in the time period between the beginning of the European session and until the middle of the American one when all deals should be closed manually.
5) We can pay attention to the MACD signals in the 30M time frame only if there is good volatility and a definite trend confirmed by a trend line or a trend channel.
6) If two key levels are too close to each other (about 5-15 pips), then this is a support or resistance area.
How to read charts:
Support and Resistance price levels can serve as targets when buying or selling. You can place Take Profit levels near them.
Red lines are channels or trend lines that display the current trend and show which direction is better to trade.
MACD indicator (14,22,3) is a histogram and a signal line showing when it is better to enter the market when they cross. This indicator is better to be used in combination with trend channels or trend lines.
Important speeches and reports that are always reflected in the economic calendars can greatly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during such events, it is recommended to trade as carefully as possible or exit the market in order to avoid a sharp price reversal against the previous movement.
Beginners should remember that every trade cannot be profitable. The development of a reliable strategy and money management are the key to success in trading over a long period of time.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Analysis of macroeconomic reports:
Monday was uneventful. There are no significant economic reports scheduled for Monday and Tuesday, and all the fundamental events are of secondary importance. Monday was a low volume trading day and both pairs had a slight inclination to correct after a strong rally last week. The same situation will probably persist today.
Among the economic events, the only one worth mentioning is the report on the number of building permits issued in the United States. Even with an empty events calendar, such a report can still provoke a market reaction. But what kind of reaction exactly? For example, on Friday, when volatility was also quite low, the US Consumer Sentiment Index triggered a 30-point reaction (approximately). We might witness the same reaction today. The main point is that volatility is still low, which makes it difficult to trade, regardless of whether there are reports or not.
Analysis of fundamental events:
Among today’s fundamental events, the speeches by European Central Bank representatives Andrea Enria, Luis de Guindos, and Elizabeth McCaul stand out. De Guindos has already spoken earlier, and Enria and McCaul clearly carry less weight in the eyes of traders compared to Schnabel and Lane. Therefore, if traders did not react to yesterday’s speeches, it is even less likely that they would today.
In the US, you can look forward to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials John Williams and James Bullard. However, Bullard does not have voting rights this year, so his hawkish stance (which is expected) is unlikely to affect morale. As for John Williams, the US central bank held a meeting just last week and we have already heard all the necessary information. Furthermore, on Wednesday and Thursday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speeches in Congress will attract much more attention.
General conclusions:
There are few important fundamental and economic events. You can pay attention to the report on the number of building permits issued in the United States, as it is the only event that can truly provoke a reaction on a potentially low volume trading day.
Basic trading rules:
1) The strength of the signal depends on the time period during which the signal was formed (a rebound or a break). The shorter this period, the stronger the signal.
2) If two or more trades were opened at some level following false signals, i.e. those signals that did not lead the price to Take Profit level or the nearest target levels, then any consequent signals near this level should be ignored.
3) During the flat trend, any currency pair may form a lot of false signals or do not produce any signals at all. In any case, the flat trend is not the best condition for trading.
4) Trades are opened in the time period between the beginning of the European session and until the middle of the American one when all deals should be closed manually.
5) We can pay attention to the MACD signals in the 30M time frame only if there is good volatility and a definite trend confirmed by a trend line or a trend channel.
6) If two key levels are too close to each other (about 5-15 pips), then this is a support or resistance area.
How to read charts:
Support and Resistance price levels can serve as targets when buying or selling. You can place Take Profit levels near them.
Red lines are channels or trend lines that display the current trend and show which direction is better to trade.
MACD indicator (14,22,3) is a histogram and a signal line showing when it is better to enter the market when they cross. This indicator is better to be used in combination with trend channels or trend lines.
Important speeches and reports that are always reflected in the economic calendars can greatly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during such events, it is recommended to trade as carefully as possible or exit the market in order to avoid a sharp price reversal against the previous movement.
Beginners should remember that every trade cannot be profitable. The development of a reliable strategy and money management are the key to success in trading over a long period of time.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Related Posts: