Trading plan for EUR/USD on April 8. Simple tips for beginners
April 8, 2024 6:22 am
Analyzing Friday’s trades:
EUR/USD on 1H chart
On the daily chart, the price is below the balance indicator line, and the Marlin oscillator has edged down after a short-term sideways movement. We expect the price to break below the support at 1.0796 and further fall towards 1.0724.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the indicator lines. Marlin is also in the uptrend territory. The price needs a good impetus in order to attack the support at 1.0796, as well as the MACD line, which is below it. Until then, the pair may also move sideways.
EUR/USD on 5M chart
The 5-minute timeframe showed very mixed signals. The first sell signal formed in the range of 1.0838-1.0856, but there was no opportunity to act on it as the price immediately fell by several tens of points – the U.S. reports were released. Then there was a bounce from the level of 1.0797, but it wasn’t a good idea to buy the pair on strong Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment reports. Traders could have executed this signal and even made a profit from it, but we would not have opened a trade on the dollar’s decline when the reports turned out to be stronger than expected.
Trading tips on Monday:
On the hourly chart, the downtrend persists, but EUR/USD exhibited unnecessary growth last week. We believe that the euro should fall further, as the price is still too high, and the trend is generally bearish. Unfortunately, the market doesn’t always want to trade the pair in a logical manner, and occasionally, it exhibits illogical rallies.
Today, it may be worth trying to trade on dips again as the price has bounced off the trendline. If the price breaches the trend line, the downtrend will be broken, and the euro may rise even without fundamental support.
The key levels on the 5M chart are 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. There are no important events on Monday, so we can expect low volatility, and the pair may show erratic movements.
Basic trading rules:
1) Signal strength is determined by the time taken for its formation (either a bounce or level breach). A shorter formation time indicates a stronger signal.
2) If two or more trades around a certain level are initiated based on false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be disregarded.
3) In a flat market, any currency pair can produce multiple false signals or none at all. In any case, the flat trend is not the best condition for trading.
4) Trading activities are confined between the onset of the European session and mid-way through the U.S. session, after which all open trades should be manually closed.
5) On the 30-minute timeframe, trades based on MACD signals are only advisable amidst substantial volatility and an established trend, confirmed either by a trendline or trend channel.
6) If two levels lie closely together (ranging from 5 to 15 pips apart), they should be considered as a support or resistance zone.
How to read charts:
Support and Resistance price levels can serve as targets when buying or selling. You can place Take Profit levels near them.
Red lines represent channels or trend lines, depicting the current market trend and indicating the preferable trading direction.
The MACD(14,22,3) indicator, encompassing both the histogram and signal line, acts as an auxiliary tool and can also be used as a signal source.
Significant speeches and reports (always noted in the news calendar) can profoundly influence the price dynamics. Hence, trading during their release calls for heightened caution. It may be reasonable to exit the market to prevent abrupt price reversals against the prevailing trend.
Beginning traders should always remember that not every trade will yield profit. Establishing a clear strategy coupled with sound money management is the cornerstone of sustained trading success.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Analyzing Friday’s trades:
EUR/USD on 1H chart
On the daily chart, the price is below the balance indicator line, and the Marlin oscillator has edged down after a short-term sideways movement. We expect the price to break below the support at 1.0796 and further fall towards 1.0724.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the indicator lines. Marlin is also in the uptrend territory. The price needs a good impetus in order to attack the support at 1.0796, as well as the MACD line, which is below it. Until then, the pair may also move sideways.
EUR/USD on 5M chart
The 5-minute timeframe showed very mixed signals. The first sell signal formed in the range of 1.0838-1.0856, but there was no opportunity to act on it as the price immediately fell by several tens of points – the U.S. reports were released. Then there was a bounce from the level of 1.0797, but it wasn’t a good idea to buy the pair on strong Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment reports. Traders could have executed this signal and even made a profit from it, but we would not have opened a trade on the dollar’s decline when the reports turned out to be stronger than expected.
Trading tips on Monday:
On the hourly chart, the downtrend persists, but EUR/USD exhibited unnecessary growth last week. We believe that the euro should fall further, as the price is still too high, and the trend is generally bearish. Unfortunately, the market doesn’t always want to trade the pair in a logical manner, and occasionally, it exhibits illogical rallies.
Today, it may be worth trying to trade on dips again as the price has bounced off the trendline. If the price breaches the trend line, the downtrend will be broken, and the euro may rise even without fundamental support.
The key levels on the 5M chart are 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. There are no important events on Monday, so we can expect low volatility, and the pair may show erratic movements.
Basic trading rules:
1) Signal strength is determined by the time taken for its formation (either a bounce or level breach). A shorter formation time indicates a stronger signal.
2) If two or more trades around a certain level are initiated based on false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be disregarded.
3) In a flat market, any currency pair can produce multiple false signals or none at all. In any case, the flat trend is not the best condition for trading.
4) Trading activities are confined between the onset of the European session and mid-way through the U.S. session, after which all open trades should be manually closed.
5) On the 30-minute timeframe, trades based on MACD signals are only advisable amidst substantial volatility and an established trend, confirmed either by a trendline or trend channel.
6) If two levels lie closely together (ranging from 5 to 15 pips apart), they should be considered as a support or resistance zone.
How to read charts:
Support and Resistance price levels can serve as targets when buying or selling. You can place Take Profit levels near them.
Red lines represent channels or trend lines, depicting the current market trend and indicating the preferable trading direction.
The MACD(14,22,3) indicator, encompassing both the histogram and signal line, acts as an auxiliary tool and can also be used as a signal source.
Significant speeches and reports (always noted in the news calendar) can profoundly influence the price dynamics. Hence, trading during their release calls for heightened caution. It may be reasonable to exit the market to prevent abrupt price reversals against the prevailing trend.
Beginning traders should always remember that not every trade will yield profit. Establishing a clear strategy coupled with sound money management is the cornerstone of sustained trading success.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
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