You are here: Home > articles > Forex > Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures limit monthly losses; broad trend bearish
Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures limit monthly losses; broad trend bearish
March 30, 2023 8:27 amVideo
Latest News
- Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures exit sideways move to the downside April 18, 2024
- Market Comment – US dollar on the back foot as nervousness lingers in equity markets April 18, 2024
- Hot forecast for EUR/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis on April 18 April 18, 2024
- Trading plan for GBP/USD on April 18. Simple tips for beginners April 18, 2024
- Trading plan for EUR/USD on April 18. Simple tips for beginners April 18, 2024
- The Fed and global instability: a double blow to American markets April 18, 2024
- Forecast for EUR/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Forecast for GBP/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Forecast for AUD/USD on April 18, 2024 April 18, 2024
- Outlook for GBP/USD on April 18. Pound was not impressed by the inflation data April 18, 2024
- Outlook for EUR/USD on April 18. Euro has fallen into a new flat April 18, 2024
- GBP/USD. Correction or trend reversal? April 18, 2024
- The FOMC will not lower rates in 2024 April 18, 2024
- Powell made a bold point, and Bailey did not report anything important April 18, 2024
- Will the euro take a risk? April 18, 2024
- Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 17-19, 2024: sell below $2,400 (21 SMA – double top) April 17, 2024
- Technical Analysis – GBPCAD hits a wall but bulls not ready to give up April 17, 2024
- Trading Signals for Ethereum (ETH/USD) for April 17-19, 2024: sell below $3,125 (21 SMA – 2/8 Murray) April 17, 2024
- Analysis for the EUR/USD pair on April 17th. Jerome Powell didn’t help the dollar much April 17, 2024
WTI oil futures are rising for the second consecutive week, having retraced almost half of the March downfall to re-enter the previous five-month-old range area above the 73.00 mark.
The 73.00 area will be closely watched in the short-term as the 200-period exponential moving average on the weekly chart is currently capping bullish actions around the same location. If the price crawls higher, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) could immediately halt the recovery from stretching into the 76.80-77.50 zone. Another success here could prompt a fast rally towards the upper boundary of the bearish channel and the 200-day SMA both seen near 81.00.
From a technical perspective, the above bullish scenario is not the most likely yet. Despite the latest upturn in the price, the RSI has yet to pierce above its 50 neutral mark, while the MACD is still some distance below zero. Meanwhile, the stochastic oscillator has already reached the overbought territory above 80, flagging fading upside pressures.
In the event the price pulls below 73.00 and beneath the 20-day SMA, the spotlight will shift to the 70.00 psychological mark and the 50% Fibonacci level of 68.35. A decisive close lower could press the price straight to the channel’s lower band seen at 60.85, unless the barrier of 65.85 comes to the rescue beforehand. A bearish channel breakout could then bring the March 2021 floor of 57.30 next into view.
In a nutshell, the ongoing bullish wave in WTI oil futures has not convinced buyers yet. Downside risks may keep lingering in the background unless the price breaks above the channel and the 81.00 number.
Related Posts: