Technical Analysis – US 30 cash index at inflection point
June 8, 2023 8:25 amVideo
Latest News
- Analysis of GBP/USD on April 26th. The pound trades on Friday without changes April 26, 2024
- USD/JPY: Simple trading tips for novice traders on April 26th (US session) April 26, 2024
- GBP/USD: Simple trading tips for novice traders on April 26th (US session) April 26, 2024
- EUR/USD: Simple trading tips for novice traders on April 26th (US session) April 26, 2024
- GBP/USD: trading plan for the US session on April 26th (analysis of morning deals). The pound attempted, but it didn’t go April 26, 2024
- EUR/USD: trading plan for the US session on April 26th (analysis of morning deals). The euro continues to rise April 26, 2024
- Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 26-29, 2024: buy above $2,324 and sell below $2,352 (21 SMA – 6/8 Murray) April 26, 2024
- Technical Analysis – AUDUSD set to complete best week of the year April 26, 2024
- Will Apple finally drop its AI hint? – Stock Markets April 26, 2024
- Bitcoin slips as markets pare back Fed rate cuts – Crypto News April 26, 2024
- EUR/USD. April 26th. Bulls continue to advance after the GDP report April 26, 2024
- Can Chinese PMIs solidify the economy’s recovery prospects? – Preview April 26, 2024
- Weekly Forex Outlook: 26/04/2024 – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too April 26, 2024
- XM’s Lombok Collaboration: Brightening Futures April 26, 2024
- Week Ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too April 26, 2024
- Market Comment – Yen keeps sinking after Bank of Japan decision April 26, 2024
- Fed faces dilemma amid sticky inflation and slowing economy – Preview April 26, 2024
- USD/JPY: trading tips for beginners for European session on April 26 April 26, 2024
- GBP/USD: trading tips for beginners for European session on April 26 April 26, 2024
- EUR/USD: trading tips for beginners for European session on April 26 April 26, 2024
The US 30 cash index is hovering around 33,518 and conforming to the recent series of lower highs. On the downside, the October 13, 2023 upward sloping trendline appears to be acting as a strong support. The US 30 index has essentially entered a range-trading phase as market participants are trying to figure out their next move, especially as other US stock indices rally aggressively.
With the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) confirming this trendless market and the RSI trading almost at its 50-threshold, the onus falls on the stochastic oscillator to give some sort of a hint. This indicator has just entered its overbought territory, where it can stay for a while before signaling the next possible US 30 index move.
Should the bulls decide to regain market control and retest the August 16, 2022 high at 34,280, they would firstly have to break the 33,518-33,754 area populated by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the January 5, 2022 – October 3, 2022 downtrend, and the October 1, 2021 low. Even higher, the twin December 13, 2022 and May 10, 2021 highs at 34,930 and 35,091 respectively would clearly test the bulls’ resolve.
On the other hand, the bears would be keen on a break of the 33,317-33,483 area defined by the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). They would then come up against the October 13, 2023 upward sloping trendline, which stands a tad above the busy 33,767-33,028 area that is set by the June 21, 2021 low, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 200-day SMA respectively.
To sum up, the repeated failures at 34,280 appear to have confused the US 30 bulls. The current range-trading mode is an opportunity for them to formulate their strategy, especially as the path of least resistance appears to favour the bears.
Related Posts: