Citigroup survived the mid-March madness, but it has failed to make sustainable gains despite touching 50.35 on April 19. It is currently hovering below the January 16, 2015 low of 46.65, around 12% lower than the February 2 high and comfortably inside the 42.81-54.30 range that has been dominating the price action since March 2022.

It has been a tough period for the bulls, but they could finally see light at the end of the tunnel. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) has dipped below the 25-threshold and hence preparing the ground for a new trend soon. More importantly, the stochastic oscillator is trying to break above both its oversold area and moving average. A convincing move higher could be a bullish signal. Alternatively, a failed attempt from this indicator would invigorate the bears. Interestingly, the convergence of the simple moving averages (SMAs) is screaming that a sizeable move is on the cards.

Should the bulls decide to stage a rally and break the 46.65 level, they would face a key area. The trifecta of SMAs and the December 26, 2018 low populate the 47.17-48.39 range. A successful break of this area means that the May 30, 2013 high of 53.55 could be within the grasp of the bulls.

On the other side, the bears appear to be targeting the lower boundary of the recent rectangle at 42.81. But they must successfully clear the June 24, 2013 and July 14, 2022 lows of 45.04 and 43.34 respectively first.

To sum up, Citigroup bears remain in control through a series of lower highs. The bulls are anxious for a rally, but they need assistance from the stochastic oscillator.

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