NZDUSD has been stuck in a steep downtrend after posting a fresh five-month high of 0.6410 in mid-July. Despite trading flat for the past two weeks, the pair dropped to a fresh nine-month bottom in today’s session before paring back some losses.

The momentum indicators are heavily tilted to the bearish side. The RSI is declining near its 30-oversold mark, while the stochastic oscillator is also negatively charged near its 20-oversold territory.

Should the downward spike extend, the price could initially face 0.5730, which is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 0.5510-0.6536 upleg. A violation of that zone could trigger a retreat towards the September 2022 support of 0.5598. Further declines could then come to a halt at the October 2022 bottom of 0.5510.

On the flipside, bullish actions may encounter immediate resistance at the 61.8% Fibo of 0.5902. Piercing through that zone, the pair could advance towards the 50.0% Fibo of 0.6023 before the 38.2% Fibo of 0.6144 appears on the radar. Even higher, the 23.6% Fibo of 0.6294 might curb the pair’s upside.

Overall, NZDUSD sank to a fresh 2023 low in today’s session after a hard battle around the 61.8% Fibo of 0.5902. For the bulls to regain confidence, the price needs to reclaim that region.

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