March 11th 2019: Pound Frets Ahead of Brexit Deadline
March 11, 2019 8:13 am
Morning Report: 07.00 London
The British pound remains under pressure as the official Brexit deadline approaches. Markets still believe there is an overwhelming chance that there will be an extension to allow further negotiation, but recent brinkmanship has not helped confidence in this area.
The GBP/USD gapped lower at the open this morning, following up on last week’s selling. The pair is now trading below 1.3000 for the first time since the middle of March. The GBP/JPY also gapped lower, but is performing slightly better and trading above the lows of the morning. The EUR/GBP has gapped higher at the open, building on Friday’s gains that take the pair above the February lows.
The euro itself is performing relatively well, with the EUR/USD erasing a third of last Thursday’s losses. The EUR/JPY is also climbing, though remains below resistance at 125.00.
The dollar is generally mixed, with the dollar index gapping above Friday’s close. Markets have come to terms with Friday’s disappointing Non Farm Payroll numbers. The AUD/USD took a step back at the open, but is now back to near the parity line.
The USD/CAD is holding the support line around 1.3400 after gapping higher this morning. The USD/CHF remains below the parity line, though is making small gains so far this morning.
The USD/JPY is also holding support above 111.00.
Coming up today
Today, we have US core retail sales at 12.30.
Trade Idea
Irrespective of Brexit, the GBP/USD is under pressure from the strong dollar. Add continued Brexit uncertainty and there is considerable downside risk for the pair as we approach the deadline.
Morning Report: 07.00 London
The British pound remains under pressure as the official Brexit deadline approaches. Markets still believe there is an overwhelming chance that there will be an extension to allow further negotiation, but recent brinkmanship has not helped confidence in this area.
The GBP/USD gapped lower at the open this morning, following up on last week’s selling. The pair is now trading below 1.3000 for the first time since the middle of March. The GBP/JPY also gapped lower, but is performing slightly better and trading above the lows of the morning. The EUR/GBP has gapped higher at the open, building on Friday’s gains that take the pair above the February lows.
The euro itself is performing relatively well, with the EUR/USD erasing a third of last Thursday’s losses. The EUR/JPY is also climbing, though remains below resistance at 125.00.
The dollar is generally mixed, with the dollar index gapping above Friday’s close. Markets have come to terms with Friday’s disappointing Non Farm Payroll numbers. The AUD/USD took a step back at the open, but is now back to near the parity line.
The USD/CAD is holding the support line around 1.3400 after gapping higher this morning. The USD/CHF remains below the parity line, though is making small gains so far this morning.
The USD/JPY is also holding support above 111.00.
Coming up today
Today, we have US core retail sales at 12.30.
Trade Idea
Irrespective of Brexit, the GBP/USD is under pressure from the strong dollar. Add continued Brexit uncertainty and there is considerable downside risk for the pair as we approach the deadline.
A good way to play this is a ONE TOUCH trade predicting that the GBP/USD will touch 1.2750 in 7 days for a potential return of 108%.
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