• Fed Chair Yellen to set the tone on hikes
• Given the “hawkish” comments by FOMC members, Yellen’s speech will set the tone for the likelihood of near-term hikes.
• Her last appearance was very dovish, but we expect a more neutral tone today.
• Likely to indicate a June hike is still in play, as global risks have subsided and data for Q2 are encouraging.
• Something like that could prove USD-positive, but our base-case scenario remains September or December.

• Today:

• US: 2nd estimates of GDP and core PCE deflator, both for Q1. GDP is exp. to be revised up, which could support USD ahead of Yellen’s speech.
• Speakers: Besides Yellen and any comments by the G7 leaders, we have no other speakers.

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