FOMC: Opening the door for June?
• Fed is widely expected to stand pat. No press conference or updated forecasts, so the action will come from the meeting statement.
• We expect officials to take a neutral stance, so reaction in USD may be limited.
• But if they change language and sound more optimistic, the dollar could surge.

BoJ to raise its stimulus dose
• We expect the BoJ to ease policy further by expanding its QQE program.
• This could weaken the yen and support Japanese stocks, but any such reaction may remain short-lived.

RBNZ likely to take the sidelines for now
• RBNZ is likely to stand pat amid an improving inflation rate (and a rate cut in Mar.)
• This could push NZD/USD higher following the decision.

Overnight: AUD plunges on soft inflation data
• AUD/USD fell more than 100 pips after inflation slowed in Q1.
• AUD could stay under selling pressure as this raises the odds for more RBA easing.

Today:
• UK: 1st estimate of Q1 GDP is exp. to slow, which could prove GBP-negative.

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