“Hawkish” Fed talk boosts the dollar
• USD rallied yesterday despite disappointing CPI data, following some “hawkish” remarks from NY Fed President William Dudley.
• He said that we are getting closer to a hike, which may come as early as Sept.
• Fed’s Lockhart echoed his comments, saying at least 1 hike is warranted this year.

FOMC July meeting minutes in focus
• Focus now turns to the FOMC minutes to determine the dollar’s near-term direction.
• The meeting statement was upbeat: “near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished”.
• An account of an optimistic Committee in the minutes could raise the likelihood for a hike this year and thereby may support USD.

Today’s indicators:
• UK: Employment report for Jun. but given that these are pre-referendum data, the reaction in GBP could remain limited, unless we have notable surprises.

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