USD gains on solid economic data, but only briefly
• USD gained yest. after almost all data releases beat their forecasts (CPI & retail sales).
• But the reaction was short-lived. Gave back all the gains to trade lower in the following hours.
• Yellen didn’t say anything new. USD correction lower may have been due to disappointing real wage growth, released alongside the CPIs.
• USD outlook remains cautiously optimistic, but a lot will depend on Trump’s tax announcement.

Riksbank remains on hold and shifts to an ultra-dovish bias
• Riksbank stood pat as was widely expected. The language in the meeting statement was dovish.
• Said that there’s still a higher probability for a rate cut than a hike in near-term.
• Wants a SEK that does not appreciate too quickly, and renewed a mandate that allows it to intervene in the FX market.
• SEK plunged on the dovish signals, and may remain under selling interest.

Today’s highlights:
• Sweden: Unemployment rate for Jan. is exp. to have risen notably. SEK-negative.
• Eurozone: ECB January meeting minutes. Usually not a major market mover.
• US: Philly Fed business activity index for Feb. is exp. to decline. May prove slightly USD-negative. Also, building permits & housing starts for Jan.
• Speakers: Norges Bank Governor Stefan Ingves.

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