ECB not in a hurry, but will it do more?
• ECB VP Constancio said that the Bank has to “wait a little bit” following Brexit to assess if further stimulus is needed.
• Market has been calm the last few days, with recent rebounds suggesting stabilization.
• We believe that the Bank is likely to do more, but not immediately (early Q3 perhaps).
• In the meantime, EUR outlook appears negative. (political uncertainties & low infl. exp)

Today:
• Germany: Retail sales for May and unemployment rate for June.
• France: Prel. CPI for Jun. is exp. to rise.
• UK: Final GDP estimate and current account balance, both for Q1. These data may be seen as outdated and thus, any reaction in GBP could remain limited.
• Eurozone: Prel. CPI for Jun. is exp. to rise, which could support EUR a bit, at least temporarily. Also, ECB minutes of the June policy meeting.
• US: Chicago PMI for Jun. and initial jobless claims for week ended Jun. 24th.
• Canada: GDP for Apr. is exp. to rise. This could support CAD at the release.
• Speakers: BoE Governor Mark Carney and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard.

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