Dollar slides on “cautious” Yellen
• The Fed Chair struck a “dovish” tone in her remarks yesterday.
• Higher external risk factors like slower global growth was a reason the FOMC revised down its policy path.
• Her emphasis on risks was in contrast to recent remarks by other Fed speakers, which caused USD to tumble.
• Chair’s comments tilt expectations for rate hikes in a dovish direction, in our view.
• USD remains sensitive to data and future direction to depend on incoming data.

Today:
• Norway: AKU unemployment rate for Jan.
• Eurozone: Final consumer confidence for Mar. Usually not a market mover.
• Germany: Prel. CPI for Mar. is exp. to rise but to remain in negative territory.
• US: ADP employment report for Mar. is exp. 194k vs 214k. Despite the decline, a figure close to 200k could cause USD to recover some of its losses.
• Speakers: ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans.

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