FOMC: Positive tone…but nothing about hikes this year
• The FOMC remained on hold and sent some hawkish signals by saying that “near-term risks to the economic outlook have diminished”.
• USD strengthened immediately, but soon gave back its gains to trade much lower.
• This may have been because the Fed did not offer any timeframe on the next hike.
• Focus now shifts on the US data and Fed officials’ speeches.
• We believe that increasing speculation for a hike this year is needed to support USD in coming weeks.

Today:
• UK: Nationwide house price index for Jul. is exp. to remain unchanged. This is usually not a market mover.
• Sweden: Retail sales and unemployment rate, both for Jun. Retail sales are exp. to slow, unemployment rate to rise. These could hurt SEK.
• Germany: Prel. CPI for Jul. is exp. to accelerate. This could raise speculation that Eurozone’s CPI could follow suit and thereby support EUR.
• Speakers: ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure.

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