Japan’s CPIs tread water in November
• Japan’s headline CPI rate rose in Nov., but the core rate remained unchanged.
• Reaction in JPY was muted, perhaps due to the mixed prints.
• Even though these data do not indicate any meaningful improvement in inflation, we believe that the weaker yen could boost the CPI rates.
• Thus, we expect the BoJ to takes the sidelines for a while, while it examines fresh data under its new policy framework and following the yen’s slump.

Today:
• US: CB consumer confidence index for Dec. is exp. to rise a bit. Also, S&P/Case-Shiller house price index for October.

As for the rest of the week:
• Wed: US pending home sales for Nov. Usually not a major market mover, but in a very quiet calendar week, it could attract some attention.
• Thur: BoJ releases summary of opinions from Dec. policy meeting. An optimistic tone regarding Japan’s economy could enhance our view the Bank is unlikely to act in the coming months.

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