• Riksbank to keep rates unchanged for now
• Although Sweden’s inflation profile has deteriorated since the Bank’s latest meeting, they are likely to remain on hold for now.
• Riksbank tends to follow ECB footsteps, as such, they may prefer to wait until Dec. before taking any action.
• We expect the Bank to maintain a very dovish bias that could prove SEK-negative.
• Norges Bank to stand pat
• Norway’s inflation rate declined notably in Sept., opening the door for further easing.
• Nevertheless, recent comments from Gov. Olsen support that the Bank may be done easing for a while, at least in the absence of a sharp appreciation in NOK, or consistent disappointment in the economic data. NOK could strengthen.
• Today:
• UK: 1st estimate of Q3 GDP is exp. to have slowed to +0.3% qoq from +0.7% qoq in Q2. This will be the first set of growth data concerning the post-Brexit era.
• US: Durable goods orders and pending home sales for Sept. Initial jobless claims for the wk ended 21st Oct. Overall strong data could prove USD-positive.

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