IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 25/05/2016
May 25, 2016 8:56 amVideo
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Bank of Canada may strike a dovish tone
• BoC is widely expected to remain on hold following the fiscal boost in Mar.
• However, the recent fires in Alberta have decreased oil output by roughly 25%.
• This could raise concerns about Q2 GDP, as the situation is not resolved yet.
• CB’s usually do not cut rates due to “temporary” shocks like this, but we still expect a dovish shift in language.
• On top of the lost oil production, a dovish bias could put CAD under renewed selling pressure.
Today:
• Germany: Ifo survey for May is exp. to show a rise in the expectations index. We believe it could rise by less than exp. If so, it could hurt EUR a bit.
• Speakers: ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari.
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