Fed stands pat, signals one hike still likely
• The Fed left interest rates unchanged but signalled that near-term risks appear roughly balanced and that the case for a hike has strengthened.
• Three officials dissented in favour of a hike, increasing the case for Dec. action.
• The Committee decided to wait for further evidence of continued progress towards its objectives of inflation and employment.
• USD remains data-driven with risks tilted to the downside in case of disappointing data.

RBNZ on hold, but further easing will be required
• RBNZ left rates unchanged, but signaled that it intends to cut rates again to boost inflation.
• Even though the economy is strong, inflation has being below the bottom of 1-3% target.
• November is the likely period for a move, when we get the updated 2-yr inflation expectations.
• NZD to come under selling interest as exp. build-up for a near-term rate cut.

Today:
• Norges Bank policy meeting: Exp. to remain on hold, given that downside risks for Norway’s economy have diminished a bit. Inflation is above target and jobs market is strong.
• US: Initial jobless claims for the week ended on Sep. 16th. Existing home sales for Aug.
• Speakers: ECB President Mario Draghi and BoE MPC member Kristin Forbes.

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