IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 22/06/2016
June 22, 2016 7:54 amVideo
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Yellen: Cautious approach is “still appropriate”
• Fed Chair Yellen maintained a cautious yet optimistic tone in her testimony.
• “Brexit” could create a risk-off environment, which may strengthen USD.
• US economy is doing well, but need to ensure that the recent slowdown in jobs growth is only temporary.
• This enhances our view that July may be too soon for the Fed to move.
• We maintain our call for September, but if June’s employment report (Jul.8) is soft as well, chances for a later hike could rise notably.
Today:
• Sweden: Consumer & manufacturing confidence indices for Jun. Unemployment rate for May is exp. to decline. Overall, these could support SEK somewhat.
• US: Fed Chair Yellen testifies before Congress. Given that the speech will be the same as yesterday, the focus will be solely on the Q&A session. Also, existing home sales for May.
• Canada: Retail sales for Apr. are exp. to rise, which could support CAD a bit.
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