IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 21/04/2016
April 21, 2016 8:39 amVideo
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ECB to bring further easing into light
• ECB is unlikely to reveal any fresh measures and the focus will be solely on the press conference and Q&A session.
• Draghi is likely to reassure investors that the Bank hasn’t used up all its tools, indicating that fresh rate cuts and other tools remain on the table.
• “Helicopter money” can be mentioned. Such comments could weaken EUR.
Riksbank is likely to stand pat
• The Riksbank is expected to stand pat amid a rising inflation rate.
• The reaction in SEK may be determined by the tone of the decision statement.
• We expect officials to maintain an easing bias and threaten with FX intervention if SEK continues to strengthen.
• This could ease SEK recent gains.
Today:
• UK: Retail sales for Mar. are exp. to fall. This could prove GBP-negative.
• Eurozone: Prel. consumer confidence for Apr. Usually not a market mover.
• US: Philadelphia Fed index for Apr. Initial jobless claims (week ended 15th Apr.)
• Speakers: Besides ECB Draghi, BoE Governor Mark Carney speaks.
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