Japan dodges technical recession
• Japan’s economy grew more than expected in Q1, avoiding a technical recession (two quarters of negative growth).
• However, the report also showed that inflation slowed in the quarter.
• JPY strengthened at the release, but gave back its gains in the following hours.
• Low inflation keeps speculation elevated that the BoJ may ease again in June.
• Focus remains on the G7 meeting end of May for JPY near-term direction.

Today:
• UK: Employment report for Mar. Unemployment rate is exp. to remain unchanged, avg. weekly earnings to slow a bit, which could prove GBP-negative.
• Eurozone: Final CPI for Apr. is exp. to confirm the preliminary estimate.
• US: FOMC April policy meeting minutes. In the statement we had no comments on the possibility of a June hike. It will be interesting to see if such a mention will be in the minutes. If no new information is received, the reaction in USD may stay limited.
• Speakers: Norges Bank Governor Oystein Olsen.

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