IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 16/03/2016
March 16, 2016 9:13 amVideo
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Fed to tactically “delay” hikes
• FOMC is expected to remain on hold. Focus will shift on the updated “dot plot”, new economic forecasts and press conference.
• We expect the “dot plot” to be revised down, but not significantly.
• This will communicate that the normalization path is still on track, just delayed.
• Initial reaction in USD on the size of the revisions and next on the tone of Yellen’s press conference.
Kuroda: BoJ could cut rates until -0.5%
• Gov. Kuroda said the BoJ could cut rates until -0.5% if needed.
• Yen weakened on his comments, as fears the BoJ is running out of tools eased.
Today:
• UK: Employment report for Jan. Unemployment rate is exp. Unchanged, while average weekly earnings are exp. to accelerate. This could prove GBP-positive.
• US: CPI for Feb. is exp. to slow, but any reaction in USD may be short-lived ahead of the Fed decision. Also, building permits, housing starts and industrial production, all for Feb.
• Canada: Manufacturing sales for Jan.
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