IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 15/11/2016
November 15, 2016 9:38 amVideo
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Is it time for the USD rally to take a breather?
• The massacre in the bond market continued yesterday.
• Investors kept dumping US bonds, concerned the Fed may hike rates faster than prev.
• This fuelled further strength in the dollar. USD index now at highest lvl since Dec. 2015.
• But how long until investors take some profit? We saw some small FX countermoves late yesterday and today during the Asian session.
• We could see some more profit-taking today. Maybe modest countermoves before the next wave of USD strength.
Today:
• Germany: ZEW survey for Nov. and prel. GDP data for Q3.
• UK: CPI rate for Oct. is exp. to rise a bit. It may rise more-than-exp. If so, GBP positive.
• Sweden: CPI for Oct. is forecast to accelerate, which may prove SEK-positive.
• Eurozone: Prel. GDP for Q3 is exp. to have risen at the same pace as prev.
• US: Retail sales for Oct. are forecast to slow somewhat, but still remain at healthy levels. This could keep the Fed on track for Dec. hike, and thus support USD.
• Speakers: Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer.
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