Has China stabilized?
• China’s GDP for Q1 slowed slightly, but all the data for Mar. beat expectations.
• Thus, while the global turmoil of Jan. and Feb. weighed on growth, the economy may have stabilized in Mar.
• This may contribute to the return of a pro-risk sentiment, which could support commodity currencies AUD, NZD and equity markets.
• Furthermore, it could curb demand for safe havens like JPY, gold and CHF.

BoE on hold, offers more “Brexit” warnings
• BoE remained on hold and warned that “Brexit” uncertainties may soften GDP growth in the first half of 2016.
• Data prior to the referendum may be of secondary importance to the Bank.
• Polls are very close, so we remain cautious of future GBP rallies until June 23rd.

Today:
• Canada: Manuf. sales for Feb. are exp. to fall. This could prove CAD-negative.
• US: Empire State manufacturing index and prel. U of M consumer sentiment, both for Apr. Also, IP for Mar. As all figures are exp. to improve, USD could gain.
• Speakers: Chicago Fed President Charles Evans.

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