Will the Bank of England strike pre-emptively?
• The BoE has signalled that it is ready to act following the “Brexit” vote. The market is expecting a 25bps rate cut today.
• However, there is a chance that the Bank holds for now, and instead opts to send a dovish signal that it will ease in August.
• If the Bank eases today, this could weaken GBP. If it remains on hold, we expect any positive reaction to provide a renewed selling opportunity.

Bank of Canada on hold, remains neutral
• The BoC remained on hold and maintained a neutral tone overall.
• CAD strengthened on the decision. Its near-term direction may depend on global risk sentiment and oil prices.
• Given the Bank’s neutrality, we exp. CAD to strengthen in the long-run.

Today:
• US: PPI for Jun. and initial jobless claims for the week ended Jul. 8th.
• Speakers: Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart and Kansas Fed President Esther George.

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