FOMC September minutes: No surprises
• The minutes revealed little information not already known. As such, the reaction in USD was limited.
• Decision to hike in Sep. was a close call, but FOMC decided to wait for more data.
• Still on track for a Dec. hike, especially as data have been decent after the meeting.
• But beware that markets already expect a hike then. Thus, any disappointment in US data could have a large negative reaction in USD.

Overnight: Soft Chinese trade data reignite global concerns
• China’s trade data for Sep. missed their forecasts, with exports plunging.
• This raises fresh concerns about global demand as well as China’s stabilization.
• Safe havens JPY and gold rallied, and in a quiet day like today, may extent the gains.

Today:
• Germany: Final CPI for Sep. is exp. to confirm the prel. estimate. As such, the reaction in EUR may remain limited.
• US: Initial jobless claims for week ended Oct. 7th .
• Speakers: Riksbank Governor Ingves and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker.

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