• Fed’s Brainard pours cold water on a near-term rate hike
• Brainard was dovish, emphasizing caution in raising rates too quickly.
• US stocks surged and USD tumbled, but the dollar recovered almost immediately to trade virtually unchanged in the aftermath.
• USD could trade in a choppy manner until further data shed light on the likelihood for a Sep. action.
• Retail sales and CPI, both for Aug., due out on Thursday and Friday respectively.
• Today:
• Sweden: CPI for Aug. is exp. to accelerate somewhat. This could support SEK.
• UK: CPI rate for Aug. is also exp. to rise. This could prove GBP-positive.
• Germany: ZEW survey for Sep. Current conditions index is exp. to decline, expectations index to rise. Net-net, this may support the euro.
• US: NFIB small business optimism for Aug.
• Speakers: ECB President Mario Draghi and ECB Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlager.

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